Liverpool U18 v Leicester City U18 prediction · U18 Premier League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49

Liverpool U18 2–2 Leicester City U18 LIVERPOOL U18 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Liverpool U18 win~~66%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.226

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Liverpool U18 win at 66%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Liverpool U18 66% before kick-off, 66% now. 0–0 · 66–14–20
1′KICK-OFF Liverpool U18 v Leicester City U18
28′Liverpool U18 find the net on 28′. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–12–9
28′We said Liverpool U18 at 66% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 1–0 · 79–12–9
28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Liverpool U18 1–0 Leicester City U18
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Liverpool U18 win: 66% at kick-off, 79% now
34′PENALTY MISSED · 34' Liverpool U18
45′Liverpool U18 ahead on 27′ through A. Yeguo. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–14–8
45′HALF-TIME Liverpool U18 1–0 Leicester City U18
45′🟨 YELLOW · 41' A. Dignum · Leicester City U18
46′SECOND HALF Liverpool U18 1–0 Leicester City U18
53′A goal for Leicester City U18 on 53′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 52–27–21
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Liverpool U18 1–1 Leicester City U18
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Liverpool U18 win: 66% at kick-off, 52% now
54′We said Liverpool U18 at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 52%. 1–1 · 52–27–21
59′We said Liverpool U18 at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–30–21
63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Liverpool U18 win: 66% at kick-off, 46% now
66′We said Liverpool U18 at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–36–20
72′We said Liverpool U18 at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–44–18
72′Leicester City U18 score on 72′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 12–26–62
72′We said Liverpool U18 at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 1–2 · 12–26–62
72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Liverpool U18 win 38%)
72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Liverpool U18 1–2 Leicester City U18
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Liverpool U18 win: 66% at kick-off, 12% now
72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Leicester City U18 win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Draw 26%)
75′We said Liverpool U18 at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–25–65
79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Liverpool U18 win: 66% at kick-off, 6% now
81′We said Liverpool U18 at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–75
85′Liverpool U18 find the net on 85′. 2–2. 2–2 · 17–74–9
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Liverpool U18 2–2 Leicester City U18
85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Liverpool U18 win: 66% at kick-off, 17% now
85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Leicester City U18 win 9%)
86′We said Liverpool U18 at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 2–2 · 16–76–8
93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Liverpool U18 win: 66% at kick-off, 6% now
FTFULL TIME Liverpool U18 2–2 Leicester City U18
FTLiverpool U18 2–2 Leicester City U18 · Liverpool U18 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 3–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Liverpool U18 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Liverpool U18 66%, draw 14%, Leicester City U18 20%. Over 2.5 goals 89%, both teams to score 80%.

The AI’s read on Liverpool U18 v Leicester City U18Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Liverpool U18 win66%

Draw14%

Leicester City U18 win20%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundNorth

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Liverpool U18

Leicester City U18

28Days since last match28

Last match: 19 Sept · U18 Premier League - North

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Liverpool U18	5	+3	8
13	Leicester City U18	4	−5	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · liverpool u18 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

66% The market–

Us66%

We make Liverpool U18 a 66% chance to win. The model expects 3.5–1.9, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Liverpool U18 v Leicester City U18~~3.51 – 1.89

~~Form · U18 Premier League - North this season · since 15 Aug~~W2 D2 L1 · W0 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 2~~5 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Liverpool U18 win	66%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Leicester City U18 win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	89%	–	–
Both teams to score	80%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	96%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	77%	–	–
Liverpool U18 or draw	80%	–	–
Liverpool U18 clean sheet	16%	–	–
Leicester City U18 clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 5.6%

0123450 1 2.0 3.1 3.2 2.1 2 2.9 5.2 4.9 3.2 3 3.2 5.6 5.2 3.4 4 2.8 4.8 4.3 2.7 5 2.0 3.4 3.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Liverpool U18 down, Leicester City U18 across0–5 goals a side shown (82.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 865 U18 Premier League - North matches up to 19 Sep 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U18 Premier League - North matches have gone over 2.5 in 82.1% of games this season, across 39 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Liverpool U18 at home: 2.83 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Leicester City U18 away: 1.50 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

3.51 goals for Liverpool U18, 1.89 for Leicester City U18. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · U18 Premier League - North this season · since 15 Aug

LIVERPOOL U18

LDWWD1–2 · 2–2 · 4–2 · 4–2 · 3–3

LEICESTER CITY U18

DLLD2–2 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City U18	6	+18	18
2	Newcastle United U18	6	+12	15
3	Manchester United U18	5	+15	12
4	Nottingham Forest U18	5	+11	10
5	Liverpool U18	5	+3	8
6	Burnley U18	6	+2	8
7	Middlesbrough U18	6	−1	8
8	Derby County U18	6	−3	7
9	Everton U18	5	−1	6
10	Leeds United U18	5	−8	6
11	Blackburn Rovers U18	5	−15	6
12	Stoke City U18	6	−7	4
13	Leicester City U18	4	−5	2
14	Sunderland U18	3	−6	1
15	Wolves U18	5	−15	0