Everton U18 v Nottingham Forest U18 prediction · U18 Premier League

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Everton U18 0–1 Nottingham Forest U18 EVERTON U18 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Everton U18 win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.664

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 17 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Everton U18 win at 44%.
1′Much as we predicted: Everton U18 was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–21–35
1′KICK-OFF Everton U18 v Nottingham Forest U18
45′HALF-TIME Everton U18 0–0 Nottingham Forest U18
46′We said Everton U18 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–1 · 13–23–64
46′Everton U18 find the net on 90′. 2–1. 2–1 · 70–20–10
46′We published Everton U18 at 44%. Our model now makes it 70%. 2–1 · 70–20–10
46′SECOND HALF Everton U18 0–0 Nottingham Forest U18
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Everton U18 win: 44% at kick-off, 13% now
46′⚽ GOAL · 90+19' Everton U18 2–1 Nottingham Forest U18
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Everton U18 win: 44% at kick-off, 70% now
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Everton U18 win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Nottingham Forest U18 win 64%)
46′GOAL DISALLOWED · 46' Everton U18
46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Everton U18 2–1 Nottingham Forest U18
52′A red card for Everton U18 on 52′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 35–37–29
52′🟥 RED CARD · 52' Everton U18
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Everton U18 win: 44% at kick-off, 34% now
55′We expected about 3.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 33–39–28
55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Everton U18 win 36%)
58′A goal for Nottingham Forest U18 on 58′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 9–23–68
58′We said Everton U18 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Everton U18 0–1 Nottingham Forest U18
58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Everton U18 win: 44% at kick-off, 9% now
58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Nottingham Forest U18 win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 40%)
72′We said Everton U18 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Everton U18 win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
FTFULL TIME Everton U18 0–1 Nottingham Forest U18
FTEverton U18 0–1 Nottingham Forest U18 · Everton U18 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Everton U18 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Everton U18 44%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest U18 35%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Everton U18 v Nottingham Forest U18Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Everton U18 win44%

Draw21%

Nottingham Forest U18 win35%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundNorth

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Everton U18

Nottingham Forest U18

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · U18 Premier League - North

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Nottingham Forest U18	6	+11	11
11	Everton U18	6	−3	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · everton u18 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Everton U18 a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Everton U18 v Nottingham Forest U18~~1.88 – 1.64

~~Form · U18 Premier League - North this season · since 15 Aug~~W2 D0 L4 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 6 v 11~~11 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Everton U18 win	44%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Nottingham Forest U18 win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Everton U18 or draw	65%	–	–
Everton U18 clean sheet	20%	–	–
Nottingham Forest U18 clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.5%

0123450 2.6 5.6 4.1 2.2 1 6.3 8.5 7.3 4.0 2 5.3 8.3 6.7 3.7 3 3.3 5.2 4.2 2.3 4 2.5 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Everton U18 down, Nottingham Forest U18 across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 872 U18 Premier League - North matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U18 Premier League - North matches have gone over 2.5 in 82.6% of games this season, across 46 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Everton U18 at home: 2.50 scored, 2.83 conceded a game (last 6). Nottingham Forest U18 away: 3.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.88 goals for Everton U18, 1.64 for Nottingham Forest U18. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~NOT 1–0 EVE · EVE 3–2 NOT · NOT 0–3 EVE · EVE 7–0 NOT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · U18 Premier League - North this season · since 15 Aug

EVERTON U18

WLLWLL6–1 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 4–0 · 0–6 · 1–3

NOTTINGHAM FOREST U18

WWWLDD8–0 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City U18	6	+18	18
2	Newcastle United U18	7	+15	18
3	Manchester United U18	6	+15	13
4	Nottingham Forest U18	6	+11	11
5	Derby County U18	7	−2	10
6	Liverpool U18	6	+3	9
7	Leeds United U18	6	−6	9
8	Burnley U18	7	−1	8
9	Middlesbrough U18	7	−3	8
10	Stoke City U18	7	−5	7
11	Everton U18	6	−3	6
12	Blackburn Rovers U18	6	−16	6
13	Sunderland U18	4	−5	4
14	Leicester City U18	5	−5	3
15	Wolves U18	6	−16	0