Burnley U18 v Blackburn Rovers U18 prediction · U18 Premier League

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:04

Burnley U18 4–0 Blackburn Rovers U18 BURNLEY U18 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Burnley U18 win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.320

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Burnley U18 win at 54%.
1′Much as we predicted: Burnley U18 was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–17–29
1′KICK-OFF Burnley U18 v Blackburn Rovers U18
35′A goal for Burnley U18 on 34′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 72–16–12
35′We published Burnley U18 at 54%. Our model now makes it 72%. 1–0 · 72–16–12
35′⚽ GOAL · 34' Burnley U18 1–0 Blackburn Rovers U18
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Burnley U18 win: 54% at kick-off, 72% now
45′HALF-TIME Burnley U18 1–0 Blackburn Rovers U18
46′SECOND HALF Burnley U18 1–0 Blackburn Rovers U18
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Burnley U18 win: 54% at kick-off, 74% now
60′Burnley U18 score on 60′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 93–6–1
60′We published Burnley U18 at 54%. Our model now makes it 93%. 2–0 · 93–6–1
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Burnley U18 2–0 Blackburn Rovers U18
60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Burnley U18 win: 54% at kick-off, 93% now
63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Burnley U18 win: 54% at kick-off, 94% now
67′We published Burnley U18 at 54%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
70′Burnley U18 find the net on 70′. 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Burnley U18 3–0 Blackburn Rovers U18
73′We published Burnley U18 at 54%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
92′A goal for Burnley U18 on 90′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Burnley U18 4–0 Blackburn Rovers U18
FTFULL TIME Burnley U18 4–0 Blackburn Rovers U18
FTBurnley U18 4–0 Blackburn Rovers U18 · Burnley U18 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Burnley U18 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Burnley U18 54%, draw 17%, Blackburn Rovers U18 29%. Over 2.5 goals 85%, both teams to score 80%.

The AI’s read on Burnley U18 v Blackburn Rovers U18Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Burnley U18 win54%

Draw17%

Blackburn Rovers U18 win29%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 11:00

RoundNorth

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Burnley U18

Blackburn Rovers U18

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · U18 Premier League - North

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Burnley U18	7	−1	8
12	Blackburn Rovers U18	6	−16	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · burnley u18 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Burnley U18 a 54% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–2.0, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Burnley U18 v Blackburn Rovers U18~~2.78 – 2.02

~~Form · last six in U18 Premier League - North this season · since 15 Aug~~W2 D2 L2 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 8 v 6~~8 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Burnley U18 win	54%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Blackburn Rovers U18 win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	85%	–	–
Both teams to score	80%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	70%	–	–
Burnley U18 or draw	71%	–	–
Burnley U18 clean sheet	14%	–	–
Blackburn Rovers U18 clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 6.3%

0123450 2.1 1 2.7 4.5 4.7 3.2 2 3.3 6.3 6.3 4.2 2.2 3 3.0 5.7 5.7 3.8 4 2.1 4.0 3.9 2.7 5 2.3 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Burnley U18 down, Blackburn Rovers U18 across0–5 goals a side shown (91.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 872 U18 Premier League - North matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U18 Premier League - North matches have gone over 2.5 in 82.6% of games this season, across 46 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.60 goals a meeting; 4 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Burnley U18 at home: 2.83 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Blackburn Rovers U18 away: 0.67 scored, 4.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.78 goals for Burnley U18, 2.02 for Blackburn Rovers U18. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.60

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 5

~~Both scored~~4 of 5

~~Last meetings~~BLA 2–1 BUR · BUR 6–0 BLA · BLA 2–2 BUR · BLA 1–2 BUR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in U18 Premier League - North this season · since 15 Aug

BURNLEY U18

WDWLDL4–1 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 2–4 · 2–2 · 0–3

BLACKBURN ROVERS U18

WLLWLL2–0 · 0–8 · 1–6 · 2–1 · 0–5 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City U18	6	+18	18
2	Newcastle United U18	7	+15	18
3	Manchester United U18	6	+15	13
4	Nottingham Forest U18	6	+11	11
5	Derby County U18	7	−2	10
6	Liverpool U18	6	+3	9
7	Leeds United U18	6	−6	9
8	Burnley U18	7	−1	8
9	Middlesbrough U18	7	−3	8
10	Stoke City U18	7	−5	7
11	Everton U18	6	−3	6
12	Blackburn Rovers U18	6	−16	6
13	Sunderland U18	4	−5	4
14	Leicester City U18	5	−5	3
15	Wolves U18	6	−16	0