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Wigan Athletic U21 v Bolton Wanderers Res.

Wigan Athletic U21
1–3Full time
Bolton Wanderers Res.

Professional Development League · TUE 20 OCT

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 15:30
Wigan Athletic U21 1–3 Bolton Wanderers Res. BOLTON WANDERERS RES. WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Bolton Wanderers Res. win47%
The market said39%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.434
The market’s Brier score0.573

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 14 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bolton Wanderers Res. win at 47%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Bolton Wanderers Res. 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 33–20–47
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Wigan Athletic U21 v Bolton Wanderers Res.
  4. 16′A goal for Bolton Wanderers Res. on 15′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 16–17–67
  5. 16′We said Bolton Wanderers Res. at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 0–1 · 16–17–67
  6. 16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Wigan Athletic U21 0–1 Bolton Wanderers Res.
  7. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Bolton Wanderers Res. win: 47% at kick-off, 67% now
  8. 23′J. McAtee scores for Bolton Wanderers Res. on 17′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 15–17–68
  9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 4.1 we expected. 0–1 · 14–18–68
  10. 35′Bolton Wanderers Res. score on 34′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 4–9–87
  11. 35′We said Bolton Wanderers Res. at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 0–2 · 4–9–87
  12. 35′⚽ GOAL · 34' Wigan Athletic U21 0–2 Bolton Wanderers Res.
  13. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Bolton Wanderers Res. win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
  14. 41′Bolton Wanderers Res. find the net on 40′. 0–3. 0–3 · 1–3–97
  15. 41′We said Bolton Wanderers Res. at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 0–3 · 1–3–97
  16. 41′⚽ GOAL · 40' Wigan Athletic U21 0–3 Bolton Wanderers Res.
  17. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Bolton Wanderers Res. win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
  18. 43′A goal for Wigan Athletic U21 on 43′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 3–8–89
  19. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Wigan Athletic U21 1–3 Bolton Wanderers Res.
  20. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Bolton Wanderers Res. win: 47% at kick-off, 89% now
  21. 45′HALF-TIME Wigan Athletic U21 1–3 Bolton Wanderers Res.
  22. 46′J. Gilbertson scores for Wigan Athletic U21 on 44′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 3–8–89
  23. 46′SECOND HALF Wigan Athletic U21 1–3 Bolton Wanderers Res.
  24. 47′We said Bolton Wanderers Res. at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–3 · 3–8–90
  25. 70′Bolton Wanderers Res. are down to ten from 69′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–3 · 1–4–96
  26. 70′🟥 RED CARD · 69' Bolton Wanderers Res.
  27. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Bolton Wanderers Res. win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
  28. 86′We said Bolton Wanderers Res. at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
  29. FTFULL TIME Wigan Athletic U21 1–3 Bolton Wanderers Res.
  30. FTWigan Athletic U21 1–3 Bolton Wanderers Res. · Bolton Wanderers Res. win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bolton Wanderers Res. are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Wigan Athletic U21 33%, draw 20%, Bolton Wanderers Res. 47%. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 75%.

The AI’s read on Wigan Athletic U21 v Bolton Wanderers Res.Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

Wigan Athletic U21 win33%
Draw20%
Bolton Wanderers Res. win47%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 13:00

RoundRegular season

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Wigan Athletic U21

Bolton Wanderers Res.

14Days since last match8

Last match: 6 Oct · Professional Development League

Last match: 12 Oct · Premier League Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Bolton Wanderers Res.7+1418
7Wigan Athletic U218−310

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bolton wanderers res. winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
47% The market39%
Us47%
Market39%

We make Bolton Wanderers Res. a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–2.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Wigan Athletic U21 v Bolton Wanderers Res.1.87 – 2.23
Form · last six in Professional Development League this season · since 25 AugW2 D3 L1 · W5 D0 L1
Table places · points 10 v 187 v 1
The market · Bolton Wanderers Res. win39% · ours 47%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 14 OCT 04:2820 OCT 12:36
Our probability · Bolton Wanderers Res. win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Wigan Athletic U21 win33%39%−6
Draw20%22%−2
Bolton Wanderers Res. win47%39%+8
Over 2.5 goals77%77%0
Both teams to score75%77%−2
Over 1.5 goals91%90%+1
Over 3.5 goals58%60%−2
Wigan Athletic U21 or draw53%61%−8
Wigan Athletic U21 clean sheet11%––
Bolton Wanderers Res. clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.6%
0123450 3.7 4.2 3.1 1 3.1 7.1 7.6 5.6 3.2 2 3.0 6.3 6.9 5.1 2.9 3 3.9 4.3 3.2 4 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Wigan Athletic U21 down, Bolton Wanderers Res. across0–5 goals a side shown (95.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Professional Development League this season · since 25 Aug

WIGAN ATHLETIC U21

DLWDWD2–2 · 1–4 · 6–4 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 2–2

BOLTON WANDERERS RES.

WWWWWL7–0 · 3–1 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Bolton Wanderers Res.7+1418
2Fleetwood Town U217−115
3Sheffield United U217+613
4Bristol City U217+612
5Swansea City U217+312
6Coventry City U216+410
7Wigan Athletic U218−310
8Cardiff City U216+89
9Huddersfield Town U215+49
10Charlton Athletic U217−19
11Queens Park Rangers U219−78
12Barnsley U216−47
13Peterborough United U216−87
14Sheffield Wednesday U217−36
15Colchester United U217−76
16Hull City U216−45
17Millwall U214−70

The competition's standings before kick-off.