Swansea City U21 v Charlton Athletic U21 prediction · Professional Development League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Swansea City U21DrawCharlton Athletic U21

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Swansea City U21 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Swansea City U21 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Swansea City U21 50%, draw 20%, Charlton Athletic U21 30%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Swansea City U21 v Charlton Athletic U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Swansea City U21 win50%

Draw20%

Charlton Athletic U21 win30%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 13:00

RoundRegular season

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Swansea City U21

Charlton Athletic U21

6Days since last match3

Last match: 20 Oct · Professional Development League

Last match: 23 Oct · Professional Development League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Swansea City U21	8	+1	12
10	Charlton Athletic U21	8	−2	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · swansea city u21 winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:16 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Swansea City U21 a 50% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Swansea City U21 v Charlton Athletic U21~~2.24 – 1.72

~~Form · last six in Professional Development League this season · since 1 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 9~~7 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Swansea City U21 win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Swansea City U21 win	50%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Charlton Athletic U21 win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	–	–
Swansea City U21 or draw	70%	–	–
Swansea City U21 clean sheet	18%	–	–
Charlton Athletic U21 clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.1%

0123450 2.2 3.2 2.9 1 4.2 7.5 6.2 3.6 2 4.8 8.1 6.9 4.0 3 3.6 6.0 5.1 2.9 4 2.0 3.4 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Swansea City U21 down, Charlton Athletic U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,499 Professional Development League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Professional Development League matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.1% of games this season, across 61 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 3.75 goals a meeting; 6 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Swansea City U21 at home: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Charlton Athletic U21 away: 1.67 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.24 goals for Swansea City U21, 1.72 for Charlton Athletic U21. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~CHA 6–0 SWA · SWA 3–0 CHA · SWA 3–1 CHA · CHA 3–1 SWA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Professional Development League this season · since 1 Sept

SWANSEA CITY U21

WWLWWL2–0 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 4–2 · 2–1 · 0–2

CHARLTON ATHLETIC U21

DDWWLL2–2 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 1–4 · 3–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bolton Wanderers Res.	8	+16	21
2	Fleetwood Town U21	8	−1	16
3	Coventry City U21	7	+6	13
4	Sheffield United U21	7	+6	13
5	Cardiff City U21	7	+9	12
6	Bristol City U21	7	+6	12
7	Swansea City U21	8	+1	12
8	Wigan Athletic U21	9	−5	10
9	Huddersfield Town U21	5	+4	9
10	Charlton Athletic U21	8	−2	9
11	Barnsley U21	7	−4	8
12	Queens Park Rangers U21	9	−7	8
13	Peterborough United U21	7	−8	8
14	Sheffield Wednesday U21	8	−3	7
15	Colchester United U21	7	−7	6
16	Hull City U21	6	−4	5
17	Millwall U21	4	−7	0