Home › Football › Professional Development League › Queens Park Rangers U21 v Cardiff City U21

Queens Park Rangers U21 v Cardiff City U21

Queens Park Rangers U21

1–1Full time

Cardiff City U21

Professional Development League · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 17:00

Queens Park Rangers U21 1–1 Cardiff City U21 CARDIFF CITY U21 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Cardiff City U21 win~~41%

~~The market said~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.907

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.924

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 7 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Cardiff City U21 win at 41%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Cardiff City U21 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 36–22–41
1′KICK-OFF Queens Park Rangers U21 v Cardiff City U21
7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Queens Park Rangers U21 1–0 Cardiff City U21
8′A goal for Queens Park Rangers U21 on 7′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 59–20–21
8′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 8' Cardiff City U21 win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
8′THE CALL SWINGS · 8' Queens Park Rangers U21 win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Cardiff City U21 win 21%)
10′We said Cardiff City U21 at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 1–0 · 59–20–20
16′We said Cardiff City U21 at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 60–21–19
30′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 1–0 · 62–22–16
45′SECOND HALF Queens Park Rangers U21 1–0 Cardiff City U21
88′⚽ GOAL · 89' Queens Park Rangers U21 1–1 Cardiff City U21
FTFULL TIME Queens Park Rangers U21 1–1 Cardiff City U21
FTQueens Park Rangers U21 1–1 Cardiff City U21 · Cardiff City U21 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 13:47 · locked at kick-off

Queens Park Rangers U21 win36%

Draw22%

Cardiff City U21 win41%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Queens Park Rangers U21

Cardiff City U21

7Days since last match25

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Cardiff City U21	5	+8	8
16	Queens Park Rangers U21	7	−9	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cardiff city u21 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 13:47 · locked at kick-off

41% The market50%

Us41%

~~Market~~50%

We make Cardiff City U21 a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · cardiff city u21 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Queens Park Rangers U21 win	36%	29%	+8
Draw	22%	21%	+1
Cardiff City U21 win	41%	50%	−9
Over 2.5 goals	68%	74%	−6
Both teams to score	68%	72%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	86%	87%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	46%	55%	−8
Queens Park Rangers U21 or draw	59%	50%	+9
Queens Park Rangers U21 clean sheet	17%	–	–
Cardiff City U21 clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.3%

0123450 3.3 5.4 5.0 3.0 1 5.0 9.3 8.2 5.0 2.3 2 4.3 7.6 6.8 4.1 3 2.5 4.3 3.9 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Queens Park Rangers U21 down, Cardiff City U21 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,490 Professional Development League matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Professional Development League matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.2% of games this season, across 52 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 3.88 goals a meeting; 6 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Queens Park Rangers U21 at home: 3.17 scored, 2.83 conceded a game (last 6). Cardiff City U21 away: 1.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.69 goals for Queens Park Rangers U21, 1.82 for Cardiff City U21. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.88

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~QUE 1–0 CAR · CAR 2–3 QUE · QUE 2–1 CAR · CAR 2–1 QUE

Form · last six in Professional Development League

QUEENS PARK RANGERS U21

DLWLLL3–3 · 1–3 · 4–1 · 1–3 · 2–4 · 1–5

CARDIFF CITY U21

LLWDDW1–2 · 1–2 · 5–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 6–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bolton Wanderers Res.	7	+14	18
2	Fleetwood Town U21	7	−1	15
3	Bristol City U21	6	+8	12
4	Swansea City U21	7	+3	12
5	Coventry City U21	6	+4	10
6	Sheffield United U21	6	+2	10
7	Wigan Athletic U21	8	−3	10
8	Charlton Athletic U21	7	−1	9
9	Cardiff City U21	5	+8	8
10	Barnsley U21	6	−4	7
11	Peterborough United U21	5	−4	7
12	Huddersfield Town U21	4	+1	6
13	Sheffield Wednesday U21	6	0	6
14	Colchester United U21	7	−7	6
15	Hull City U21	6	−4	5
16	Queens Park Rangers U21	7	−9	4
17	Millwall U21	4	−7	0