Home › Football › Professional Development League › Peterborough United U21 v Sheffield United U21

Peterborough United U21 v Sheffield United U21

Peterborough United U21

0–4Full time

Sheffield United U21

Professional Development League · TUE 13 OCT · ABAX Stadium

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 15:45

Peterborough United U21 0–4 Sheffield United U21 SHEFFIELD UNITED U21 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sheffield United U21 win~~49%

~~The market said~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.395

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.541

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Sheffield United U21 win at 49%.
1′KICK-OFF Peterborough United U21 v Sheffield United U21
2′Much as we predicted: Sheffield United U21 was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 29–22–49
32′Sheffield United U21 find the net on 31′. 0–1. 0–1 · 10–18–72
32′⚽ GOAL · 31' Peterborough United U21 0–1 Sheffield United U21
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Sheffield United U21 win: 49% at kick-off, 72% now
34′We published Sheffield United U21 at 49%. Our model now makes it 72%. 0–1 · 10–18–72
36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Peterborough United U21 0–2 Sheffield United U21
37′A goal for Sheffield United U21 on 36′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 3–7–90
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Sheffield United U21 win: 49% at kick-off, 90% now
39′We published Sheffield United U21 at 49%. Our model now makes it 91%. 0–2 · 2–7–91
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Peterborough United U21 0–3 Sheffield United U21
43′41′ and it is 0–3: T. Howard on the scoresheet for Sheffield United U21. 0–3 · 0–2–98
45′HALF-TIME Peterborough United U21 0–3 Sheffield United U21
46′SECOND HALF Peterborough United U21 0–3 Sheffield United U21
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Peterborough United U21 0–4 Sheffield United U21
FTFULL TIME Peterborough United U21 0–4 Sheffield United U21
FTPeterborough United U21 0–4 Sheffield United U21 · Sheffield United U21 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off

Peterborough United U21 win30%

Draw21%

Sheffield United U21 win49%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 13:00

VenueABAX Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Peterborough United U21

Sheffield United U21

14Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Sheffield United U21	6	+2	10
11	Peterborough United U21	5	−4	7

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sheffield united u21 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off

49% The market41%

Us49%

~~Market~~41%

We make Sheffield United U21 a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–2.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · sheffield united u21 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Peterborough United U21 win	30%	37%	−8
Draw	21%	22%	−1
Sheffield United U21 win	49%	41%	+8
Over 2.5 goals	69%	75%	−5
Both teams to score	68%	74%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	87%	89%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	48%	56%	−8
Peterborough United U21 or draw	51%	59%	−8
Peterborough United U21 clean sheet	13%	–	–
Sheffield United U21 clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%

0123450 3.1 5.6 5.7 3.9 2.0 1 4.2 8.8 8.7 5.9 3.1 2 3.4 6.7 6.7 4.5 2.4 3 3.5 3.5 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Peterborough United U21 down, Sheffield United U21 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,490 Professional Development League matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Professional Development League matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.2% of games this season, across 52 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 4.62 goals a meeting; 8 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Peterborough United U21 at home: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Sheffield United U21 away: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.56 goals for Peterborough United U21, 2.04 for Sheffield United U21. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~4.62

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 8

~~Both scored~~8 of 8

~~Last meetings~~SHE 1–3 PET · PET 6–1 SHE · SHE 5–1 PET · PET 2–1 SHE

Form · last six in Professional Development League

PETERBOROUGH UNITED U21

LWWDLL0–1 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 3–3 · 0–6 · 0–1

SHEFFIELD UNITED U21

WLDLWW2–0 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 2–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bolton Wanderers Res.	7	+14	18
2	Fleetwood Town U21	7	−1	15
3	Bristol City U21	6	+8	12
4	Swansea City U21	7	+3	12
5	Coventry City U21	6	+4	10
6	Sheffield United U21	6	+2	10
7	Wigan Athletic U21	8	−3	10
8	Charlton Athletic U21	7	−1	9
9	Cardiff City U21	5	+8	8
10	Barnsley U21	6	−4	7
11	Peterborough United U21	5	−4	7
12	Huddersfield Town U21	4	+1	6
13	Sheffield Wednesday U21	6	0	6
14	Colchester United U21	7	−7	6
15	Hull City U21	6	−4	5
16	Queens Park Rangers U21	7	−9	4
17	Millwall U21	4	−7	0