Home › Football › Professional Development League › Coventry City U21 v Swansea City U21
Back

Coventry City U21 v Swansea City U21
Coventry City U21
Swansea City U21Professional Development League · TUE 20 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Swansea City U21 win at 42%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Swansea City U21 was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 37–21–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Coventry City U21 v Swansea City U21
- 39′Coventry City U21 score on 38′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 63–22–16
- 39′We said Swansea City U21 at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 1–0 · 63–22–16
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Coventry City U21 1–0 Swansea City U21
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Swansea City U21 win: 42% at kick-off, 16% now
- 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Coventry City U21 win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Swansea City U21 win 37%)
- 43′We said Swansea City U21 at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 64–22–14
- 45′HALF-TIME Coventry City U21 1–0 Swansea City U21
- 46′SECOND HALF Coventry City U21 1–0 Swansea City U21
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+5' Swansea City U21 win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 59′We said Swansea City U21 at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 68–22–9
- 69′Coventry City U21 find the net on 69′. 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Coventry City U21 2–0 Swansea City U21
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Swansea City U21 win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
- 70′We said Swansea City U21 at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- FTFULL TIME Coventry City U21 2–0 Swansea City U21
- FTCoventry City U21 2–0 Swansea City U21 · Swansea City U21 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Swansea City U21 are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Coventry City U21 37%, draw 21%, Swansea City U21 42%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 72%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Coventry City U21 win37%
Swansea City U21 win42%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 14:00
RoundRegular season
Match timeline
All events
Coventry City U21MIN
Swansea City U21Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Coventry City U21
Swansea City U21
Last match: 13 Oct · Premier League Cup
Last match: 6 Oct · Professional Development League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Swansea City U21 a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.9–2.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City U21 win | 37% | 37% | 0 |
| Draw | 21% | 23% | −2 |
| Swansea City U21 win | 42% | 40% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% | 75% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 72% | 74% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 88% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54% | 57% | −3 |
| Coventry City U21 or draw | 58% | 60% | −2 |
| Coventry City U21 clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
| Swansea City U21 clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Professional Development League this season · since 25 Aug
COVENTRY CITY U21
SWANSEA CITY U21
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton Wanderers Res. | 7 | +14 | 18 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 7 | −1 | 15 |
| 3 | Sheffield United U21 | 7 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 | Bristol City U21 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 | Swansea City U21 | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Coventry City U21 | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Wigan Athletic U21 | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 8 | Cardiff City U21 | 6 | +8 | 9 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town U21 | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 | Charlton Athletic U21 | 7 | −1 | 9 |
| 11 | Queens Park Rangers U21 | 9 | −7 | 8 |
| 12 | Barnsley U21 | 6 | −4 | 7 |
| 13 | Peterborough United U21 | 6 | −8 | 7 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday U21 | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 15 | Colchester United U21 | 7 | −7 | 6 |
| 16 | Hull City U21 | 6 | −4 | 5 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 4 | −7 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Bolton Wanderers Res.
Fleetwood Town U21
Sheffield United U21
Bristol City U21
Wigan Athletic U21
Cardiff City U21
Huddersfield Town U21
Charlton Athletic U21
Queens Park Rangers U21
Barnsley U21
Peterborough United U21
Sheffield Wednesday U21
Colchester United U21
Hull City U21
Millwall U21