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Home › Football › Professional Development League › Coventry City U21 v Swansea City U21

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Coventry City U21 v Swansea City U21

Coventry City U21
2–0Full time
Swansea City U21

Professional Development League · TUE 20 OCT

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 16:30
Coventry City U21 2–0 Swansea City U21 SWANSEA CITY U21 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Swansea City U21 win42%
The market said40%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.620
The market’s Brier score0.608

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Swansea City U21 win at 42%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Swansea City U21 was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 37–21–42
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Coventry City U21 v Swansea City U21
  4. 39′Coventry City U21 score on 38′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 63–22–16
  5. 39′We said Swansea City U21 at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 1–0 · 63–22–16
  6. 39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Coventry City U21 1–0 Swansea City U21
  7. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Swansea City U21 win: 42% at kick-off, 16% now
  8. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Coventry City U21 win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Swansea City U21 win 37%)
  9. 43′We said Swansea City U21 at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 64–22–14
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Coventry City U21 1–0 Swansea City U21
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Coventry City U21 1–0 Swansea City U21
  12. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+5' Swansea City U21 win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
  13. 59′We said Swansea City U21 at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 68–22–9
  14. 69′Coventry City U21 find the net on 69′. 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
  15. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Coventry City U21 2–0 Swansea City U21
  16. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Swansea City U21 win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
  17. 70′We said Swansea City U21 at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  18. FTFULL TIME Coventry City U21 2–0 Swansea City U21
  19. FTCoventry City U21 2–0 Swansea City U21 · Swansea City U21 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Swansea City U21 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Coventry City U21 37%, draw 21%, Swansea City U21 42%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 72%.

The AI’s read on Coventry City U21 v Swansea City U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

Coventry City U21 win37%
Draw21%
Swansea City U21 win42%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 14:00

RoundRegular season

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Coventry City U21

Swansea City U21

7Days since last match14

Last match: 13 Oct · Premier League Cup

Last match: 6 Oct · Professional Development League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Swansea City U217+312
6Coventry City U216+410

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · swansea city u21 winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
42% The market40%
Us42%
Market40%

We make Swansea City U21 a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.9–2.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Coventry City U21 v Swansea City U211.87 – 2.00
Form · last six in Professional Development League this season · since 25 AugW3 D1 L2 · W4 D0 L2
Table places · points 10 v 126 v 5
The market · Swansea City U21 win40% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 14 OCT 04:2820 OCT 13:37
Our probability · Swansea City U21 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Coventry City U21 win37%37%0
Draw21%23%−2
Swansea City U21 win42%40%+2
Over 2.5 goals74%75%−1
Both teams to score72%74%−2
Over 1.5 goals90%88%+2
Over 3.5 goals54%57%−3
Coventry City U21 or draw58%60%−2
Coventry City U21 clean sheet14%––
Swansea City U21 clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.0%
0123450 2.4 4.1 4.2 2.8 1 3.9 8.0 7.7 5.1 2.6 2 3.7 7.2 7.1 4.7 2.4 3 2.3 4.5 4.4 2.9 4 2.1 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Coventry City U21 down, Swansea City U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsCOV 0–1 SWA · COV 2–1 SWA · COV 2–3 SWA · SWA 2–3 COV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Professional Development League this season · since 25 Aug

COVENTRY CITY U21

LLWDWW1–2 · 1–3 · 5–3 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 5–1

SWANSEA CITY U21

LWWLWW2–3 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 4–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Bolton Wanderers Res.7+1418
2Fleetwood Town U217−115
3Sheffield United U217+613
4Bristol City U217+612
5Swansea City U217+312
6Coventry City U216+410
7Wigan Athletic U218−310
8Cardiff City U216+89
9Huddersfield Town U215+49
10Charlton Athletic U217−19
11Queens Park Rangers U219−78
12Barnsley U216−47
13Peterborough United U216−87
14Sheffield Wednesday U217−36
15Colchester United U217−76
16Hull City U216−45
17Millwall U214−70

The competition's standings before kick-off.