Home › Football › Professional Development League › Barnsley U21 v Hull City U21

Barnsley U21 v Hull City U21

Barnsley U21

0–2Full time

Hull City U21

Professional Development League · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 15:49

Barnsley U21 0–2 Hull City U21 BARNSLEY U21 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Barnsley U21 win~~49%

~~The market said~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.765

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.742

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Barnsley U21 win49%

Draw21%

Hull City U21 win30%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · barnsley u21 winPublished 9 Oct 13:02

49% The market47%

Us49%

~~Market~~47%

We make Barnsley U21 a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.1–1.7.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Barnsley U21 win	49%	47%	+2
Draw	21%	22%	−1
Hull City U21 win	30%	31%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	73%	72%	+1
Both teams to score	71%	71%	0
Over 1.5 goals	89%	87%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	53%	52%	+1
Barnsley U21 or draw	70%	69%	+1
Barnsley U21 clean sheet	19%	–	–
Hull City U21 clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.3%

0123450 2.5 3.7 3.1 1 4.7 8.0 6.5 3.6 2 5.1 8.3 6.8 3.8 3 3.6 5.9 4.9 2.7 4 3.2 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Barnsley U21 down, Hull City U21 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,489 Professional Development League matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Professional Development League matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.5% of games this season, across 51 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Barnsley U21 at home: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Hull City U21 away: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.15 goals for Barnsley U21, 1.67 for Hull City U21. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~3 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BAR 2–0 HUL · HUL 0–2 BAR · BAR 1–0 HUL · HUL 2–1 BAR

Form · last six in Professional Development League

BARNSLEY U21

LWDWLL0–4 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 4–3 · 3–5 · 0–2

HULL CITY U21

WDLLLD2–1 · 3–3 · 0–2 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bolton Wanderers Res.	7	+14	18
2	Fleetwood Town U21	7	−1	15
3	Bristol City U21	6	+8	12
4	Swansea City U21	7	+3	12
5	Coventry City U21	6	+4	10
6	Sheffield United U21	6	+2	10
7	Wigan Athletic U21	8	−3	10
8	Charlton Athletic U21	7	−1	9
9	Cardiff City U21	5	+8	8
10	Barnsley U21	5	−2	7
11	Peterborough United U21	5	−4	7
12	Huddersfield Town U21	4	+1	6
13	Sheffield Wednesday U21	6	0	6
14	Colchester United U21	7	−7	6
15	Queens Park Rangers U21	7	−9	4
16	Hull City U21	5	−6	2
17	Millwall U21	4	−7	0