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Tottenham v Crystal Palace
TottenhamCrystal PalacePremier League · SAT 31 OCT · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Tottenham are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Tottenham 45%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 29%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off
Tottenham win45%Crystal Palace win29%Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:30
RoundMatchday 9
VenueTottenham Hotspur Stadium
Match timeline
All events
TottenhamMINCrystal PalaceEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
Last match: 24 Oct · the English Premier League
Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tottenham | 8 | −2 | 9 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 7 | −8 | 7 |
Highest position since early January - are Spurs finally on way back?BBC Sport · · Tottenham
Crystal Palace and Newcastle face off with both in search of season kickstartThe Guardian · · Crystal Palace, Newcastle
Charlton Athletic will wince at Crystal Palace winger situation right nowFootball League World · · Charlton, Crystal Palace
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Tottenham a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 13 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham win | 45% | 58% | −13 |
| Draw | 26% | 23% | +3 |
| Crystal Palace win | 29% | 19% | +10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 59% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 57% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 80% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 38% | −6 |
| Tottenham or draw | 71% | 81% | −10 |
| Tottenham clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Crystal Palace clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 28 Aug
TOTTENHAM
CRYSTAL PALACE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 7 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 8 | −3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 7 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Leeds | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | −1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 8 | −4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 | Tottenham | 8 | −2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Fulham | 8 | −2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Newcastle | 7 | −4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Manchester United | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 7 | −8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | −4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry | 8 | −9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 7 | −8 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.