Tottenham v Coventry

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Tottenham win at 48%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Tottenham v Coventry
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Tottenham was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–25–27
4. 15′Tottenham ahead on 14′ through James Maddison. 1–0. 1–0 · 73–17–10
5. 15′⚽ GOAL · 14' Tottenham 1–0 Coventry · James Maddison
6. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Tottenham win: 48% at kick-off, 73% now
7. 16′We published Tottenham at 48%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–17–10
8. 21′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Caleb Yirenkyi · Coventry
9. 23′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Dominic Solanke · Tottenham
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 74–17–8
11. 35′We published Tottenham at 48%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–8
12. 45′HALF-TIME Tottenham 1–0 Coventry
13. 45′SECOND HALF Tottenham 1–0 Coventry
14. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Jay Dasilva · Coventry
15. 50′Jack Rudoni scores for Coventry on 50′. 1–0 · 77–18–6
16. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Tottenham 1–1 Coventry · Jack Rudoni
17. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Tottenham win: 48% at kick-off, 37% now
18. 51′We said Tottenham at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 36–41–23
19. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Tottenham win 77%)
20. 55′Jack Rudoni scores for Coventry on 49′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 34–43–22
21. 55′We said Tottenham at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–43–22
22. 58′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 79–17–4
23. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Tottenham 2–1 Coventry
24. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Tottenham win: 48% at kick-off, 79% now
25. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Tottenham win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 46%)
26. 59′58′: Omar Marmoush on the scoresheet for Tottenham, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 79–17–4
27. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Coventry · On: Taiwo Awoniyi · Off: Sidiki Cherif
28. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Coventry · On: Frank Onyeka · Off: Caleb Yirenkyi
29. 62′We published Tottenham at 48%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–4
30. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Jack Rudoni · Coventry
31. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Tottenham · On: Ben Davies · Off: Andrew Robertson
32. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Tottenham · On: Conor Gallagher · Off: James Maddison
33. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Tottenham · On: Mateus Fernandes · Off: Tosin Adarabioyo
34. 73′We published Tottenham at 48%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
35. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Tottenham win: 48% at kick-off, 88% now
36. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Coventry · On: Gustavo Hamer · Off: Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
37. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Coventry · On: Ephron Mason-Clark · Off: Brandon Thomas-Asante
38. 81′We published Tottenham at 48%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
39. 87′We published Tottenham at 48%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
40. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Tottenham · On: Dejan Kulusevski · Off: Mohammed Kudus
41. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Tottenham · On: Mathys Tel · Off: Omar Marmoush
42. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Coventry · On: Kaine Kesler-Hayden · Off: Jack Rudoni
43. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Tottenham win: 48% at kick-off, 98% now
44. 96′Tottenham ahead on 90′ through Ben Davies. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
45. 96′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Tottenham 3–1 Coventry · Ben Davies
46. 97′We published Tottenham at 48%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
47. FTFULL TIME Tottenham 3–1 Coventry
48. FTTottenham 3–1 Coventry · Tottenham win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.