Ipswich v Nottingham Forest

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Nottingham Forest win at 44%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Nottingham Forest 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 31–26–44
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ipswich v Nottingham Forest
4. 13′We said Nottingham Forest at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 12–18–70
5. 13′Neco Williams scores for Nottingham Forest on 13′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–18–70
6. 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Ipswich 0–1 Nottingham Forest
7. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Nottingham Forest win: 44% at kick-off, 70% now
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 10–19–71
9. 41′41′: Julio Enciso on the scoresheet for Ipswich, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 27–36–37
10. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
11. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Nottingham Forest win: 44% at kick-off, 37% now
12. 45′HALF-TIME Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
13. 46′SECOND HALF Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
14. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Nottingham Forest win: 44% at kick-off, 34% now
15. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Nottingham Forest win 37%)
16. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Issa Diop · Ipswich
17. 54′We said Nottingham Forest at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 25–43–32
18. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Murillo Santiago · Nottingham Forest
19. 60′We said Nottingham Forest at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 23–48–29
20. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Ipswich · On: Zian Flemming · Off: Emersonn
21. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Ipswich · On: Jack Clarke · Off: Jaden Philogene-Bidace
22. 66′Nottingham Forest have had 11 attempts to 6 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 20–54–26
23. 69′We said Nottingham Forest at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 19–57–24
24. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Nottingham Forest win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
25. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Nottingham Forest · On: Callum Hudson-Odoi · Off: Dan Ndoye
26. 74′12 shots for Nottingham Forest, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 16–64–20
27. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Ipswich · On: Daizen Maeda · Off: Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
28. 76′We said Nottingham Forest at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 14–67–18
29. 80′We said Nottingham Forest at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 11–75–14
30. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Nottingham Forest win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
31. 84′We said Nottingham Forest at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 7–83–9
32. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Nottingham Forest · On: Luca Netz · Off: Neco Williams
33. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Ipswich · On: Azor Matusiwa · Off: Florentino Luís
34. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Ipswich · On: Chuba Akpom · Off: Julio Enciso
35. 88′16 shots for Nottingham Forest, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 5–88–6
36. 91′We said Nottingham Forest at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–93–4
37. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Nottingham Forest win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
38. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Nottingham Forest · On: Chris Wood · Off: Liam Delap
39. FTFULL TIME Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
40. FTIpswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest · Nottingham Forest win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.