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Hull City v Brentford
Hull CityBrentfordPremier League · SUN 25 OCT · MKM Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Brentford just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Hull City 35%, draw 26%, Brentford 39%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Hull City win35%Brentford win39%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 8
VenueMKM Stadium
RefereeRobert Jones
Match timeline
All events
Hull CityMINBrentfordEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Hull City
Brentford
Last match: 17 Oct · the English Premier League
Last match: 17 Oct · the English Premier League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brentford | 7 | +5 | 10 |
| 11 | Hull City | 7 | +1 | 9 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Brentford a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 17 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City win | 35% | 20% | +15 |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | +2 |
| Brentford win | 39% | 56% | −17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 57% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 57% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 79% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 36% | −6 |
| Hull City or draw | 61% | 44% | +17 |
| Hull City clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Brentford clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 29 Aug
HULL CITY
BRENTFORD
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 7 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 8 | −3 | 11 |
| 7 | Brentford | 7 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Leeds | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | −1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 8 | −4 | 10 |
| 11 | Hull City | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Tottenham | 8 | −2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Fulham | 8 | −2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Newcastle | 7 | −4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Manchester United | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | −8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | −4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry | 8 | −9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 7 | −8 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.