Home › Football › Premier League › Crystal Palace v Newcastle
Back
Crystal Palace v Newcastle
Crystal PalaceNewcastlePremier League · SUN 25 OCT · Selhurst Park
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Newcastle just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Crystal Palace 36%, draw 25%, Newcastle 38%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Crystal Palace win36%Newcastle win38%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 8
VenueSelhurst Park
RefereePaul Tierney
Match timeline
All events
Crystal PalaceMINNewcastleEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa League
Last match: 17 Oct · the English Premier League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Newcastle | 7 | −4 | 8 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | −8 | 7 |
Crystal Palace and Newcastle face off with both in search of season kickstartThe Guardian · · Crystal Palace, Newcastle
Newcastle latest: This project will take time, says JaissleSky Sports · · Newcastle
Charlton Athletic will wince at Crystal Palace winger situation right nowFootball League World · · Crystal Palace
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Newcastle a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace win | 36% | 32% | +4 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| Newcastle win | 38% | 41% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 60% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 64% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 81% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 41% | −7 |
| Crystal Palace or draw | 62% | 59% | +3 |
| Crystal Palace clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| Newcastle clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 28 Aug
CRYSTAL PALACE
NEWCASTLE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 7 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 7 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 8 | −3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 7 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Leeds | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 8 | −4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 7 | −4 | 8 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | −8 | 7 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 16 |  Tottenham | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | −4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Coventry | 7 | −8 | 6 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 7 | −3 | 5 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 7 | −8 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.