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Coventry v Sunderland
CoventrySunderlandPremier League · SAT 31 OCT · Coventry Building Society Arena
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Coventry just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Coventry 38%, draw 28%, Sunderland 34%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off
Coventry win38%Sunderland win34%Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 9
VenueCoventry Building Society Arena
Match timeline
All events
CoventryMINSunderlandEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Coventry
Sunderland
Last match: 24 Oct · the English Premier League
Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | −9 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | −8 | 4 |
Coventry latest: Lampard provides update on Thomas injurySky Sports · · Coventry
Reporter Notebook: No panic stations at Sunderland despite tough startSky Sports · · Sunderland
Sunderland latest: Poznan draw was ‘good experience’, says Le BrisSky Sports · · Sunderland
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Coventry a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 34% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 38% | 34% | +4 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 0 |
| Sunderland win | 34% | 38% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 50% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 56% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 74% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 30% | −5 |
| Coventry or draw | 66% | 62% | +4 |
| Coventry clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Sunderland clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 30 Aug
COVENTRY
SUNDERLAND
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 7 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 8 | −3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 7 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Leeds | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | −1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 8 | −4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Tottenham | 8 | −2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Fulham | 8 | −2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Newcastle | 7 | −4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Manchester United | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | −8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | −4 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | −9 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | −8 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.