Coventry v Fulham

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Fulham win at 38%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Fulham was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 35–27–38
3. 1′KICK-OFF Coventry v Fulham
4. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Shea Charles · Fulham
5. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Fulham win 35%)
6. 45′HALF-TIME Coventry 0–0 Fulham
7. 45′SECOND HALF Coventry 0–0 Fulham
8. 55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 26–46–28
9. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Fulham win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
10. 60′We said Fulham at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 0–0 · 24–50–26
11. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Coventry · On: Stephen Mfuni · Off: Bobby Thomas
12. 64′We said Fulham at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 22–54–24
13. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Fulham · On: Sander Berge · Off: Hugo Larsson
14. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Coventry · On: Frank Onyeka · Off: Caleb Yirenkyi
15. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Coventry · On: Taiwo Awoniyi · Off: Sidiki Cherif
16. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Coventry · On: Ephron Mason-Clark · Off: Brandon Thomas-Asante
17. 73′We said Fulham at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 17–64–18
18. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Fulham win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
19. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Fulham · On: Rodrigo Muniz · Off: Gonzalo García
20. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Fulham · On: Cesar Palacios Perez · Off: Alex Iwobi
21. 78′We said Fulham at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 13–72–14
22. 80′We published Fulham at 38%. Our model now makes it 88%. 0–1 · 1–11–88
23. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Coventry 0–1 Fulham
24. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Fulham win: 38% at kick-off, 88% now
25. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Fulham win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 76%)
26. 81′Oscar Bobb scores for Fulham on 80′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 1–10–89
27. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Fulham win: 38% at kick-off, 89% now
28. 82′We published Fulham at 38%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
29. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Fulham · On: Kenny Tete · Off: Oscar Bobb
30. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Fulham · On: Tom Cairney · Off: Josh King
31. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Antonee Robinson · Fulham
32. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Coventry · On: Gustavo Hamer · Off: Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
33. 88′We published Fulham at 38%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
34. 90′Full time, 0–1. We called Fulham at 38% — that one lands. 0–1 · 0–0–100
35. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Fulham win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
36. FTFULL TIME Coventry 0–1 Fulham
37. FTCoventry 0–1 Fulham · Fulham win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.