Brighton v Crystal Palace

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Brighton win at 53%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Brighton 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–24–23
3. 1′KICK-OFF Brighton v Crystal Palace
4. 4′An own goal by Crystal Palace's Jaydee Canvot on 4′. 0–0 · 52–25–23
5. 5′We said Brighton at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–14–9
6. 5′⚽ GOAL · 4' Brighton 1–0 Crystal Palace · Jaydee Canvot (own goal)
7. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Brighton win: 53% at kick-off, 77% now
8. 7′We said Brighton at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 2–0 · 91–6–2
9. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Brighton 2–0 Crystal Palace
10. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Brighton win: 53% at kick-off, 91% now
11. 8′Brighton ahead on 7′ through Diego Gomez. 2–0. 2–0 · 92–6–2
12. 10′We said Brighton at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 3–0 · 98–2–1
13. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Brighton 3–0 Crystal Palace
14. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Brighton win: 53% at kick-off, 98% now
15. 11′Yasin Ayari scores for Brighton on 10′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 98–2–1
16. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Pascal Groß · Brighton
17. 30′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 99–1–0
18. 45′HALF-TIME Brighton 3–0 Crystal Palace
19. 45′SECOND HALF Brighton 3–0 Crystal Palace
20. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Crystal Palace · On: Dwight McNeil · Off: Quinten Timber Corrected
21. 49′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
22. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Brighton 4–0 Crystal Palace
23. 50′49′: Charalampos Kostoulas on the scoresheet for Brighton, making it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
24. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Daichi Kamada · Crystal Palace
25. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Crystal Palace · On: Jefferson Lerma · Off: Honest Ahanor Corrected
26. 56′We said Brighton at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
27. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Crystal Palace · On: Jean-Philippe Mateta · Off: Jörgen Strand Larsen Corrected
28. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Crystal Palace · On: Eddie Nketiah · Off: Yeremy Pino Corrected
29. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Chema Andrés · Brighton
30. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Brighton · On: Jack Hinshelwood · Off: Pascal Groß Corrected
31. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Brighton · On: Georginio Rutter · Off: Charalampos Kostoulas Corrected
32. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Crystal Palace · On: Will Hughes · Off: Daichi Kamada Corrected
33. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Brighton · On: Jaouen Hadjam · Off: Olivier Boscagli Corrected
34. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Brighton · On: Malick Yalcouyé · Off: Yasin Ayari Corrected
35. 84′5 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 5–0 · 100–0–0
36. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Brighton 5–0 Crystal Palace
37. 85′Brighton ahead on 84′ through Jack Hinshelwood. 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
38. 90′5–0 at the end. Our 53% on Brighton comes in. 5–0 · 100–0–0
39. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Brighton · On: Michael Svoboda · Off: Lewis Dunk Corrected
40. FTFULL TIME Brighton 5–0 Crystal Palace
41. FTBrighton 5–0 Crystal Palace · Brighton win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.