Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Premier League Cup › Millwall U21 v Sheffield United U21

Back
England flag

Millwall U21 v Sheffield United U21

Millwall U21
–Postponed
Sheffield United U21

Premier League Cup · TUE 20 OCT

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Sheffield United U21 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Millwall U21 35%, draw 24%, Sheffield United U21 41%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Millwall U21 v Sheffield United U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · postponed, not graded

Millwall U21 win35%
Draw24%
Sheffield United U21 win41%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:00

RoundGroup stage

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Millwall U21

Sheffield United U21

11Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Premier League Cup

Last match: 13 Oct · Professional Development League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sheffield united u21 winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · postponed, not graded
41% The market46%
Us41%
Market46%

We make Sheffield United U21 a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.6.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Millwall U21 v Sheffield United U211.50 – 1.62
Form · Premier League Cup this season · since 14 AugW1 D0 L1 · W1 D0 L1
The market · Sheffield United U21 win46% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 14 OCT 04:2820 OCT 18:44
Our probability · Sheffield United U21 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Millwall U21 win35%31%+4
Draw24%23%+1
Sheffield United U21 win41%46%−5
Over 2.5 goals60%64%−4
Both teams to score62%64%−2
Over 1.5 goals82%82%0
Over 3.5 goals38%43%−5
Millwall U21 or draw59%54%+5
Millwall U21 clean sheet20%––
Sheffield United U21 clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%
0123450 4.9 7.1 5.8 3.2 1 6.5 10.8 8.5 4.6 2 5.0 7.9 6.3 3.4 3 2.5 4.0 3.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Millwall U21 down, Sheffield United U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting2.40
Over 2.52 of 5
Both scored3 of 5
Last meetingsSHE 2–0 MIL · SHE 1–1 MIL · SHE 0–3 MIL · MIL 2–1 SHE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League Cup this season · since 14 Aug

MILLWALL U21

LW0–2 · 1–0

SHEFFIELD UNITED U21

WL3–1 · 1–2