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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Premier League Cup › Leeds United U21 v Stoke City U21

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Leeds United U21 v Stoke City U21

Leeds United U21
14:00Upcoming
Stoke City U21

Premier League Cup · SAT 31 OCT · LNER Community Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Leeds United U21DrawStoke City U21
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Leeds United U21 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Leeds United U21 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Leeds United U21 48%, draw 21%, Stoke City U21 31%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Leeds United U21 v Stoke City U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Leeds United U21 win48%
Draw21%
Stoke City U21 win31%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:00

RoundGroup stage

VenueLNER Community Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Leeds United U21

Stoke City U21

13Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League 2 Division One

Last match: 23 Oct · Premier League 2 Division One

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · leeds united u21 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off
48% The market–
Us48%

We make Leeds United U21 a 48% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Leeds United U21 v Stoke City U212.02 – 1.60
Form · Premier League Cup this season · since 14 AugW1 D1 L1 · W0 D2 L1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Leeds United U21 win48%––
Draw21%––
Stoke City U21 win31%––
Over 2.5 goals70%––
Both teams to score69%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals49%––
Leeds United U21 or draw69%––
Leeds United U21 clean sheet21%––
Stoke City U21 clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.7%
0123450 2.9 4.3 3.5 1 5.4 8.7 6.8 3.7 2 5.5 8.6 6.8 3.6 3 3.7 5.8 4.6 2.5 4 3.0 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Leeds United U21 down, Stoke City U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.52 of 6
Both scored3 of 6
Last meetingsSTO 0–0 LEE · LEE 0–1 STO · STO 1–1 LEE · LEE 2–1 STO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League Cup this season · since 14 Aug

LEEDS UNITED U21

DLW0–0 · 0–1 · 3–1

STOKE CITY U21

DLD0–0 · 0–4 · 2–2