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Middlesbrough U21 v Tottenham Hotspur U21

Middlesbrough U21

12:30Upcoming

Tottenham Hotspur U21

Premier League 2 Division One · SUN 25 OCT · Heritage Park

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Middlesbrough U21DrawTottenham Hotspur U21

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Tottenham Hotspur U21 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tottenham Hotspur U21 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Middlesbrough U21 36%, draw 22%, Tottenham Hotspur U21 43%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Middlesbrough U21 v Tottenham Hotspur U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Middlesbrough U21 win36%

Draw22%

Tottenham Hotspur U21 win43%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:30

RoundRegular season

VenueHeritage Park

RefereeG. Rhodes

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Middlesbrough U21

Tottenham Hotspur U21

5Days since last match7

Last match: 20 Oct · National League Cup

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League 2 Division One

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tottenham hotspur u21 winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Tottenham Hotspur U21 a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Middlesbrough U21 v Tottenham Hotspur U21~~1.72 – 1.90

~~Form · Premier League 2 Division One this season · since 23 Aug~~W0 D2 L3 · W4 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 2 v 13~~27 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Middlesbrough U21 win	36%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Tottenham Hotspur U21 win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
Middlesbrough U21 or draw	57%	–	–
Middlesbrough U21 clean sheet	15%	–	–
Tottenham Hotspur U21 clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%

0123450 2.9 5.1 4.9 3.1 1 4.6 8.8 8.2 5.2 2.5 2 4.0 7.4 7.0 4.4 2.1 3 2.3 4.3 4.0 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Middlesbrough U21 down, Tottenham Hotspur U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,594 Premier League 2 Division One matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League 2 Division One matches have gone over 2.5 in 76.6% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 4.67 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Middlesbrough U21 at home: 2.50 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Tottenham Hotspur U21 away: 2.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.72 goals for Middlesbrough U21, 1.90 for Tottenham Hotspur U21. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~4.67

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~3 of 3

~~Last meetings~~TOT 1–3 MID · TOT 6–1 MID · MID 1–2 TOT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League 2 Division One this season · since 23 Aug

MIDDLESBROUGH U21

LLDDL0–1 · 1–3 · 4–4 · 2–2 · 1–2

TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR U21

WDWWW3–1 · 3–3 · 3–1 · 4–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tottenham Hotspur U21	5	+8	13
2	Chelsea U21	5	+6	12
3	Nottingham Forest U21	6	0	12
4	Liverpool U21	5	+5	10
5	Southampton U21	4	+5	10
6	Sunderland U21	5	+4	10
7	Norwich City U21	5	+3	10
8	Fulham U21	6	+2	10
9	AFC Bournemouth U21	5	+2	10
10	Reading U21	6	+1	10
11	Manchester United U21	4	+8	9
12	Everton U21	5	+2	8
13	Brighton U21	6	0	8
14	West Ham United U21	6	0	8
15	Aston Villa U21	5	0	8
16	Crystal Palace U21	4	+4	7
17	Derby County U21	5	+1	7
18	Leeds United U21	5	−1	7
19	Manchester City U21	4	+2	6
20	Ipswich Town U21	4	+1	6
21	Brentford U21	5	+1	6
22	Stoke City U21	6	0	4
23	Arsenal U21	5	−3	4
24	Blackburn Rovers U21	3	−3	3
25	Burnley U21	6	−4	3
26	Wolves U21	4	−9	3
27	Middlesbrough U21	5	−4	2
28	Birmingham City U21	5	−11	2
29	West Bromwich Albion U21	4	−4	1
30	Leicester City U21	4	−8	1
31	Newcastle United U21	3	−8	0