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Liverpool U21 v Reading U21
Liverpool U21
Reading U21Premier League 2 Division One · SAT 17 OCT · Liverpool Academy
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Liverpool U21 win at 58%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Liverpool U21 v Reading U21
- 2′Much as we predicted: Liverpool U21 was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–21–21
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Liverpool U21 win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Liverpool U21 0–0 Reading U21
- 45′SECOND HALF Liverpool U21 0–0 Reading U21
- 46′We said Liverpool U21 at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–33–21
- 50′We said Liverpool U21 at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–35–21
- 55′We expected about 3.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 42–38–20
- 55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Liverpool U21
- 60′We said Liverpool U21 at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–42–19
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Liverpool U21 win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
- 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Liverpool U21 win 38%)
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Liverpool U21 · On: J. Bradshaw · Off: J. McConnell
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Liverpool U21 · On: A. Ayman · Off: L. Chambers
- 67′We said Liverpool U21 at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–49–17
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Liverpool U21 · On: F. Onanuga · Off: L. Pitt
- 72′We said Liverpool U21 at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–56–15
- 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Liverpool U21
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Liverpool U21 win: 58% at kick-off, 28% now
- 75′PENALTY MISSED · 74' Reading U21
- 77′We said Liverpool U21 at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–64–12
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Reading U21 · On: M. Dashi · Off: S. Lonmeni
- 80′We said Liverpool U21 at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–70–10
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Liverpool U21 · On: J. Upton · Off: B. Trueman
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Liverpool U21 win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
- 82′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Reading U21
- 83′We said Liverpool U21 at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–8
- 88′We said Liverpool U21 at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5
- 89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Liverpool U21
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Liverpool U21 win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
- 90′Full time, 1–0. We called Liverpool U21 at 58% — that one lands. 1–0 · 100–0–0
- 92′90′: T. Ndiaye on the scoresheet for Liverpool U21, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 97–3–0
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Liverpool U21 1–0 Reading U21 · T. Ndiaye (assist O. Connor)
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Liverpool U21 win: 58% at kick-off, 97% now
- 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Liverpool U21 win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 3%)
- 93′We published Liverpool U21 at 58%. Our model now makes it 98%. 1–0 · 98–2–0
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Liverpool U21 win: 58% at kick-off, 98% now
- FTFULL TIME Liverpool U21 1–0 Reading U21
- FTLiverpool U21 1–0 Reading U21 · Liverpool U21 win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassLiverpool U21 are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Liverpool U21 58%, draw 20%, Reading U21 21%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 63%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Liverpool U21 win58%
Reading U21 win21%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00
RoundRegular season
VenueLiverpool Academy
Match timeline
All events
Liverpool U21MIN
Reading U21Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Liverpool U21
Reading U21
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Liverpool U21
Reading U21
Last match: 6 Oct · EFL Trophy
Last match: 9 Oct · Premier League Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Liverpool U21
Formation not confirmed
1 B. Hall
2 L. Pitt
4 W. Lucky
5 T. Ndiaye
3 L. Chambers
6 B. Trueman
8 M. Laffey
7 O. Connor
10 J. McConnell
11 J. Sonni-Lambie
9 J. Danns
Coach · Robert Page
Substitutes
13 · M. Wright
14 · P. K. Cisse
12 · A. Ayman
17 · J. Bradshaw
15 · J. Upton
16 · F. Onanuga
18 · W. Wright
Reading U21
Formation not confirmed
1 J. Welland
3 A. Ahmed
5 B. Beacroft
6 P. Duah
2 T. Saint-Louis
8 T. Sackey
4 L. Howard
7 E. Osho
9 S. Lonmeni
10 C. Bowdery
11 S. Patton
Coach · Peter Scott
Substitutes
13 · A. Khan
12 · C. Cliff
17 · C. Logan
14 · M. Dashi
16 · K. Mfuamba
15 · J. Jones
18 · T. Ntege
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Liverpool U21
Formation not confirmed
1 B. Hall
2 L. Pitt
4 W. Lucky
5 T. Ndiaye
3 L. Chambers
6 B. Trueman
8 M. Laffey
7 O. Connor
10 J. McConnell
11 J. Sonni-Lambie
9 J. Danns
Coach · Robert Page
Substitutes
13 · M. Wright
14 · P. K. Cisse
12 · A. Ayman
17 · J. Bradshaw
15 · J. Upton
16 · F. Onanuga
18 · W. Wright
Reading U21
Formation not confirmed
1 J. Welland
3 A. Ahmed
5 B. Beacroft
6 P. Duah
2 T. Saint-Louis
8 T. Sackey
4 L. Howard
7 E. Osho
9 S. Lonmeni
10 C. Bowdery
11 S. Patton
Coach · Peter Scott
Substitutes
13 · A. Khan
12 · C. Cliff
17 · C. Logan
14 · M. Dashi
16 · K. Mfuamba
15 · J. Jones
18 · T. Ntege
We make Liverpool U21 a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool U21 win | 58% | 54% | +4 |
| Draw | 20% | 21% | −1 |
| Reading U21 win | 21% | 25% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 70% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 67% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 86% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 51% | −6 |
| Liverpool U21 or draw | 79% | 75% | +4 |
| Liverpool U21 clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Reading U21 clean sheet | 11% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Premier League 2 Division One this season · since 21 Aug
LIVERPOOL U21
READING U21
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 5 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 | Nottingham Forest U21 | 5 | +1 | 12 |
| 3 | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 4 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Southampton U21 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 5 | Sunderland U21 | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 6 | Norwich City U21 | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth U21 | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Everton U21 | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Liverpool U21 | 4 | +4 | 7 |
| 11 | Fulham U21 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 12 | Leeds United U21 | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 13 | Reading U21 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 14 | Brentford U21 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 15 | Aston Villa U21 | 4 | −1 | 5 |
| 16 | West Ham United U21 | 5 | −2 | 5 |
| 17 | Stoke City U21 | 5 | +1 | 4 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 19 | Brighton U21 | 4 | −2 | 4 |
| 20 | Derby County U21 | 4 | −3 | 4 |
| 21 | Arsenal U21 | 5 | −3 | 4 |
| 22 | Manchester City U21 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 | Burnley U21 | 4 | −1 | 3 |
| 24 | Blackburn Rovers U21 | 3 | −3 | 3 |
| 25 | Ipswich Town U21 | 3 | −4 | 3 |
| 26 | Birmingham City U21 | 3 | −2 | 2 |
| 27 | Middlesbrough U21 | 5 | −4 | 2 |
| 28 | West Bromwich Albion U21 | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 29 | Leicester City U21 | 3 | −6 | 1 |
| 30 | Newcastle United U21 | 3 | −8 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolves U21 | 3 | −10 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Chelsea U21
Nottingham Forest U21
Tottenham Hotspur U21
Southampton U21
Sunderland U21
Norwich City U21
Manchester United U21
AFC Bournemouth U21
Everton U21
Fulham U21
Leeds United U21
Brentford U21
Aston Villa U21
West Ham United U21
Stoke City U21
Crystal Palace U21
Brighton U21
Derby County U21
Arsenal U21
Manchester City U21
Burnley U21
Blackburn Rovers U21
Ipswich Town U21
Birmingham City U21
Middlesbrough U21
West Bromwich Albion U21
Leicester City U21
Newcastle United U21
Wolves U21