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Everton U21 v Middlesbrough U21
Everton U21
Middlesbrough U21Premier League 2 Division One · FRI 16 OCT · Walton Hall Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Everton U21 win at 43%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Everton U21 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–23–34
- 1′KICK-OFF Everton U21 v Middlesbrough U21
- 13′A goal for Middlesbrough U21 on 13′. 0–0 · 42–25–33
- 14′We said Everton U21 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–21–58
- 14′⚽ GOAL · 13' Everton U21 0–1 Middlesbrough U21
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Everton U21 win: 43% at kick-off, 21% now
- 14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' Middlesbrough U21 win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Everton U21 win 21%)
- 19′We said Everton U21 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–59
- 23′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Middlesbrough U21
- 24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Everton U21
- 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Middlesbrough U21
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 0–1 · 17–23–61
- 39′We said Everton U21 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–62
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Everton U21 1–1 Middlesbrough U21
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Everton U21 win: 43% at kick-off, 38% now
- 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Everton U21 win is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Middlesbrough U21 win 31%)
- 41′J. Patterson scores for Everton U21 on 39′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 37–33–30
- 45′HALF-TIME Everton U21 1–1 Middlesbrough U21
- 46′SECOND HALF Everton U21 1–1 Middlesbrough U21
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Everton U21 win 34%)
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Everton U21 win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Everton U21 · On: C. Bates · Off: M. Olayiwola
- 58′A goal for Everton U21 on 58′. 1–1 · 32–42–26
- 58′We said Everton U21 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 2–1 · 74–20–6
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Everton U21 2–1 Middlesbrough U21
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Everton U21 win: 43% at kick-off, 74% now
- 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Everton U21 win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 20%)
- 60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Middlesbrough U21
- 61′We said Everton U21 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–20–6
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Everton U21 · On: S. Pita · Off: J. Nsangou
- 71′We said Everton U21 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Middlesbrough U21 · On: F. Coulson · Off: E. Tika-Lemba
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Everton U21 win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
- 78′We said Everton U21 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Everton U21 · On: J. Clarke · Off: C. Loney
- 83′We said Everton U21 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Middlesbrough U21 · On: J. Roberts · Off: J. Carbon
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Everton U21 win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
- 90′We said Everton U21 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 90′2–1 at the end. Our 43% on Everton U21 comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Everton U21
- FTFULL TIME Everton U21 2–1 Middlesbrough U21
- FTEverton U21 2–1 Middlesbrough U21 · Everton U21 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassEverton U21 are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Everton U21 43%, draw 23%, Middlesbrough U21 34%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Everton U21 win43%
Middlesbrough U21 win34%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:00
RoundRegular season
VenueWalton Hall Park
Match timeline
All events
Everton U21MIN
Middlesbrough U21Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Everton U21
Middlesbrough U21
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Everton U21
Middlesbrough U21
Last match: 13 Oct · National League Cup
Last match: 30 Sept · Premier League International Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Everton U21
Formation not confirmed
1 G. Pickford
2 G. Finney
4 L. Gardner
5 J. Dodds
3 E. Carrington
8 M. Matos
6 J. Patterson
10 M. Olayiwola
11 B. Graham
9 C. Loney
7 J. Nsangou
Coach · David Hughes
Substitutes
12 · F. Barnsley
14 · J. van Schoor
15 · F. Gomez
16 · C. Bates
17 · S. Pita
18 · O. Benjamin
19 · J. Clarke
Middlesbrough U21
Formation not confirmed
1 O. Foster
4 E. Tika-Lemba
3 A. Okonola
5 J. Wilson
2 R. Patterson-Powell
8 L. McCabe
6 I. Greenup
7 J. Carbon
11 T. Smith
9 C. Ibeh
10 L. Campbell
Coach · Mark Tinkler
Substitutes
21 · S. Connor
12 · F. Coulson
14 · L. Harrison
15 · H. L. Listowell
16 · C. Cole
17 · J. Roberts
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Everton U21
Formation not confirmed
1 G. Pickford
2 G. Finney
4 L. Gardner
5 J. Dodds
3 E. Carrington
8 M. Matos
6 J. Patterson
10 M. Olayiwola
11 B. Graham
9 C. Loney
7 J. Nsangou
Coach · David Hughes
Substitutes
12 · F. Barnsley
14 · J. van Schoor
15 · F. Gomez
16 · C. Bates
17 · S. Pita
18 · O. Benjamin
19 · J. Clarke
Middlesbrough U21
Formation not confirmed
1 O. Foster
4 E. Tika-Lemba
3 A. Okonola
5 J. Wilson
2 R. Patterson-Powell
8 L. McCabe
6 I. Greenup
7 J. Carbon
11 T. Smith
9 C. Ibeh
10 L. Campbell
Coach · Mark Tinkler
Substitutes
21 · S. Connor
12 · F. Coulson
14 · L. Harrison
15 · H. L. Listowell
16 · C. Cole
17 · J. Roberts
We make Everton U21 a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton U21 win | 43% | 42% | +1 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Middlesbrough U21 win | 34% | 35% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 66% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 67% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 84% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 46% | −3 |
| Everton U21 or draw | 66% | 65% | +1 |
| Everton U21 clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Middlesbrough U21 clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Premier League 2 Division One this season · since 21 Aug
EVERTON U21
MIDDLESBROUGH U21
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 4 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Sunderland U21 | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Manchester United U21 | 3 | +9 | 9 |
| 5 | Chelsea U21 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 6 | AFC Bournemouth U21 | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 | Nottingham Forest U21 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Liverpool U21 | 4 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 | Fulham U21 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 10 | Leeds United U21 | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 11 | Reading U21 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 | Norwich City U21 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 13 | Brentford U21 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 14 | Everton U21 | 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 15 | West Ham United U21 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 4 | −1 | 5 |
| 17 | Stoke City U21 | 4 | +2 | 4 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 19 | Brighton U21 | 4 | −2 | 4 |
| 20 | Derby County U21 | 4 | −3 | 4 |
| 21 | Arsenal U21 | 5 | −3 | 4 |
| 22 | Manchester City U21 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 | Burnley U21 | 4 | −1 | 3 |
| 24 | Blackburn Rovers U21 | 3 | −3 | 3 |
| 25 | Ipswich Town U21 | 3 | −4 | 3 |
| 26 | Birmingham City U21 | 3 | −2 | 2 |
| 27 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | −3 | 2 |
| 28 | West Bromwich Albion U21 | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 29 | Leicester City U21 | 3 | −6 | 1 |
| 30 | Newcastle United U21 | 3 | −8 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolves U21 | 3 | −10 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Tottenham Hotspur U21
Southampton U21
Sunderland U21
Manchester United U21
Chelsea U21
AFC Bournemouth U21
Nottingham Forest U21
Liverpool U21
Fulham U21
Leeds United U21
Reading U21
Norwich City U21
Brentford U21
West Ham United U21
Aston Villa U21
Stoke City U21
Crystal Palace U21
Brighton U21
Derby County U21
Arsenal U21
Manchester City U21
Burnley U21
Blackburn Rovers U21
Ipswich Town U21
Birmingham City U21
West Bromwich Albion U21
Leicester City U21
Newcastle United U21
Wolves U21