Home › Football › Premier League 2 Division One › Crystal Palace U21 v Southampton U21

Crystal Palace U21 v Southampton U21

Crystal Palace U21

19:00Upcoming

Southampton U21

Premier League 2 Division One · MON 26 OCT · The 360 Engage Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Crystal Palace U21DrawSouthampton U21

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Crystal Palace U21 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Crystal Palace U21 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Crystal Palace U21 44%, draw 23%, Southampton U21 34%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Crystal Palace U21 v Southampton U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Crystal Palace U21 win44%

Draw23%

Southampton U21 win34%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 19:00

RoundRegular season

VenueThe 360 Engage Stadium

RefereeC. Walchester

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Crystal Palace U21

Southampton U21

8Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League 2 Division One

Last match: 20 Oct · Premier League International Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Southampton U21	4	+5	10
16	Crystal Palace U21	4	+4	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · crystal palace u21 winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Crystal Palace U21 a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Crystal Palace U21 v Southampton U21~~1.79 – 1.55

~~Form · Premier League 2 Division One this season · since 21 Aug~~W2 D1 L1 · W3 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 7 v 10~~16 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Crystal Palace U21 win	44%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Southampton U21 win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Crystal Palace U21 or draw	66%	–	–
Crystal Palace U21 clean sheet	22%	–	–
Southampton U21 clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 3.8 5.5 4.3 2.2 1 6.3 9.8 7.5 3.9 2 5.7 8.6 6.6 3.4 3 3.4 5.2 4.0 2.1 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Crystal Palace U21 down, Southampton U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,594 Premier League 2 Division One matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League 2 Division One matches have gone over 2.5 in 76.6% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.67 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Crystal Palace U21 at home: 1.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Southampton U21 away: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.79 goals for Crystal Palace U21, 1.55 for Southampton U21. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.67

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~CRY 1–1 SOU · SOU 0–2 CRY · SOU 4–0 CRY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League 2 Division One this season · since 21 Aug

CRYSTAL PALACE U21

DWLW1–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 4–1

SOUTHAMPTON U21

DWWW0–0 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tottenham Hotspur U21	5	+8	13
2	Chelsea U21	6	+6	13
3	Nottingham Forest U21	6	0	12
4	Liverpool U21	6	+5	11
5	Southampton U21	4	+5	10
6	Sunderland U21	5	+4	10
7	Norwich City U21	5	+3	10
8	Fulham U21	6	+2	10
9	AFC Bournemouth U21	5	+2	10
10	Reading U21	6	+1	10
11	Manchester United U21	4	+8	9
12	Everton U21	5	+2	8
13	Brighton U21	6	0	8
14	West Ham United U21	6	0	8
15	Aston Villa U21	5	0	8
16	Crystal Palace U21	4	+4	7
17	Derby County U21	5	+1	7
18	Leeds United U21	5	−1	7
19	Manchester City U21	4	+2	6
20	Ipswich Town U21	4	+1	6
21	Brentford U21	5	+1	6
22	Stoke City U21	6	0	4
23	Leicester City U21	5	−5	4
24	Arsenal U21	6	−6	4
25	Blackburn Rovers U21	3	−3	3
26	Burnley U21	6	−4	3
27	Wolves U21	4	−9	3
28	Middlesbrough U21	5	−4	2
29	Birmingham City U21	5	−11	2
30	West Bromwich Albion U21	4	−4	1
31	Newcastle United U21	3	−8	0