Chelsea U21 v Liverpool U21

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Chelsea U21 win at 52%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Chelsea U21 was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–21–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Chelsea U21 v Liverpool U21
4. 2′Chelsea U21 find the net on 2′. 1–0. 1–0 · 73–15–13
5. 2′We published Chelsea U21 at 52%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–15–13
6. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Chelsea U21 1–0 Liverpool U21
7. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Chelsea U21 win: 52% at kick-off, 73% now
8. 19′We published Chelsea U21 at 52%. Our model now makes it 89%. 2–0 · 89–8–4
9. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Chelsea U21 2–0 Liverpool U21
10. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Chelsea U21 win: 52% at kick-off, 89% now
11. 20′A goal for Chelsea U21 on 20′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 89–7–4
12. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Chelsea U21 2–1 Liverpool U21
13. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Chelsea U21 win: 52% at kick-off, 73% now
14. 26′Liverpool U21 score on 26′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 73–16–11
15. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Liverpool U21
16. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Chelsea U21
17. 47′We published Chelsea U21 at 52%. Our model now makes it 75%. 2–1 · 75–18–8
18. 47′4 goals already, more than the 3.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 42–32–25
19. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Chelsea U21 2–2 Liverpool U21
20. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Chelsea U21 win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
21. 48′Liverpool U21 find the net on 48′. 2–2. 2–2 · 42–33–25
22. 52′We said Chelsea U21 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 2–2 · 40–35–25
23. 54′We said Chelsea U21 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 39–36–24
24. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Chelsea U21 win 38%)
25. 63′Goals are coming at about the 3.8 we expected. 2–1 · 78–17–5 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
26. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Chelsea U21
27. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Liverpool U21
28. 64′We said Chelsea U21 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–44–22
29. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Chelsea U21 win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
30. 71′We said Chelsea U21 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–52–19
31. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Chelsea U21
32. 76′We said Chelsea U21 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–60–16
33. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Chelsea U21 win: 52% at kick-off, 21% now
34. 80′We said Chelsea U21 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–69–13
35. 83′We said Chelsea U21 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–76–10
36. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Chelsea U21 win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
37. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Chelsea U21
38. 88′We said Chelsea U21 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–6
39. 93′We said Chelsea U21 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–2
40. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Chelsea U21 win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
41. FTFULL TIME Chelsea U21 2–2 Liverpool U21
42. FTChelsea U21 2–2 Liverpool U21 · Chelsea U21 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.