Brentford U21 v Fulham U21

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Fulham U21 win at 43%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Fulham U21 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 37–21–43
3. 1′KICK-OFF Brentford U21 v Fulham U21
4. 16′Fulham U21 score on 16′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 18–18–64
5. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Brentford U21 0–1 Fulham U21
6. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Fulham U21 win: 43% at kick-off, 64% now
7. 17′We said Fulham U21 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 64%. 0–1 · 18–18–64
8. 22′We said Fulham U21 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 0–1 · 17–19–65
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 4.1 we expected. 0–1 · 15–19–65
10. 45′HALF-TIME Brentford U21 0–1 Fulham U21
11. 45′SECOND HALF Brentford U21 0–1 Fulham U21
12. 55′We said Fulham U21 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 9–21–70
13. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Fulham U21 win: 43% at kick-off, 73% now
14. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Fulham U21 · On: M. Zepa · Off: T. Olyott
15. 68′We said Fulham U21 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 5–20–75
16. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Fulham U21
17. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Brentford U21 · On: B. Wilson · Off: K. Gorman
18. 76′We said Fulham U21 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
19. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Fulham U21 win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
20. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Brentford U21
21. 81′We said Fulham U21 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 1–13–85
22. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Brentford U21 · On: D. Bobb-Semple · Off: J. Wheeler
23. 85′We said Fulham U21 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
24. 87′We said Fulham U21 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 8–82–9
25. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Brentford U21 1–1 Fulham U21
26. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Fulham U21 win: 43% at kick-off, 9% now
27. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Draw is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Fulham U21 win 9%)
28. 88′Brentford U21 find the net on 87′. 1–1. 1–1 · 8–84–8
29. 90′1–2 at the end. Our 43% on Fulham U21 comes in. 1–2 · 0–0–100
30. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Brentford U21 · On: D. Bobb-Semple · Off: J. Wheeler
31. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Fulham U21 · On: L. Kondau-Wall · Off: J. Quashie
32. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Fulham U21 · On: T. Cavell · Off: D. Casey
33. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Brentford U21
34. 92′We said Fulham U21 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
35. 92′We said Fulham U21 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 1–2 · 0–4–96
36. 92′A goal for Fulham U21 on 90′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–4–96
37. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Brentford U21 1–2 Fulham U21
38. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Fulham U21 win: 43% at kick-off, 96% now
39. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Fulham U21 win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
40. FTFULL TIME Brentford U21 1–2 Fulham U21
41. FTBrentford U21 1–2 Fulham U21 · Fulham U21 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.