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Uxbridge v Evesham United
Non League Premier - Southern South · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Uxbridge win at 58%.
- 3′KICK-OFF Uxbridge v Evesham United
- 6′Much as we predicted: Uxbridge was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–22–21
- 45′HALF-TIME Uxbridge 0–0 Evesham United
- 47′SECOND HALF Uxbridge 0–0 Evesham United
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 86' Uxbridge 1–0 Evesham United
- FTFULL TIME Uxbridge 1–0 Evesham United
- FTUxbridge 1–0 Evesham United · Uxbridge win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 15:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Uxbridge a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.1–1.2.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 60% to 58% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uxbridge win | 58% | 58% | +1 |
| Draw | 21% | 23% | −2 |
| Evesham United win | 21% | 19% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 59% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 57% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 80% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 38% | +3 |
| Uxbridge or draw | 79% | 81% | −2 |
| Uxbridge clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Evesham United clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern South
UXBRIDGE
EVESHAM UNITED
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Poole Town | 10 | +5 | 21 |
| 2 |  Plymouth Parkway | 9 | +15 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Hanworth Villa | 9 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bath City | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Frome Town | 10 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 |  Chertsey Town | 9 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |  Taunton Town | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Chichester City | 9 | −2 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham United | 9 | −3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Berkhamsted | 10 | −3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Wimborne Town | 8 | +6 | 12 |
| 13 |  Gosport Borough | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 |  Yate Town | 9 | −5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Bracknell Town | 9 | −7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Sholing | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 17 |  Basingstoke Town | 9 | −2 | 9 |
| 18 |  Hanwell Town | 8 | −3 | 7 |
| 19 |  Gloucester City | 9 | −5 | 7 |
| 20 |  Chippenham Town | 8 | −9 | 7 |
| 21 |  Havant & Wville | 9 | −7 | 5 |
| 22 |  Malvern Town | 9 | −12 | 5 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.