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Poole Town v Bracknell Town

Poole Town
1–0Full time
Bracknell Town

Non League Premier - Southern South · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33
Poole Town 1–0 Bracknell Town POOLE TOWN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Poole Town win57%
The market said58%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.282
The market’s Brier score0.262

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 5 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Poole Town win at 57%.
  2. 3′KICK-OFF Poole Town v Bracknell Town
  3. 6′Much as we predicted: Poole Town was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–22–22
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Poole Town 0–0 Bracknell Town
  5. 46′SECOND HALF Poole Town 0–0 Bracknell Town
  6. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Poole Town 1–0 Bracknell Town
  7. FTFULL TIME Poole Town 1–0 Bracknell Town
  8. FTPoole Town 1–0 Bracknell Town · Poole Town win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Poole Town win57%
Draw21%
Bracknell Town win22%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · poole town winPublished 10 Oct 15:19
57% The market58%
Us57%
Market58%

We make Poole Town a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.1–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:1810 OCT 03:55
Our probability · poole town win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 56% to 58% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Poole Town win57%58%−2
Draw21%23%−1
Bracknell Town win22%19%+3
Over 2.5 goals64%60%+4
Both teams to score61%57%+4
Over 1.5 goals84%81%+3
Over 3.5 goals42%39%+3
Poole Town or draw78%81%−3
Poole Town clean sheet30%––
Bracknell Town clean sheet13%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%
0123450 4.1 4.4 2.8 1 7.6 9.5 5.7 2.3 2 7.9 9.4 5.8 2.4 3 5.5 6.5 4.0 4 2.9 3.5 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Poole Town down, Bracknell Town across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting2.38
Over 2.53 of 8
Both scored4 of 8
Last meetingsPOO 0–0 BRA · BRA 3–4 POO · POO 0–0 BRA · BRA 0–0 POO

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern South

POOLE TOWN

WLWWWW2–1 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 3–1

BRACKNELL TOWN

LWLLWD1–2 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Poole Town10+521
2Plymouth Parkway9+1520
3Uxbridge9+1120
4Hanworth Villa9+919
5Bath City9+517
6Frome Town10+415
7Chertsey Town9+514
8Taunton Town9+113
9Chichester City9−213
10Evesham United9−313
11Berkhamsted10−313
12Wimborne Town8+612
13Gosport Borough10012
14Yate Town9−512
15Bracknell Town9−711
16Sholing8−310
17Basingstoke Town9−29
18Hanwell Town8−37
19Gloucester City9−57
20Chippenham Town8−97
21Havant & Wville9−75
22Malvern Town9−125

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.