Havant & Wville v Taunton Town prediction · Non League Premier

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Havant & WvilleDrawTaunton Town

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Havant & Wville 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Havant & Wville are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Havant & Wville 46%, draw 21%, Taunton Town 33%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 72%.

The AI’s read on Havant & Wville v Taunton TownBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Havant & Wville win46%

Draw21%

Taunton Town win33%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Havant & Wville

Taunton Town

11Days since last match7

Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South

Last match: 24 Oct · the English FA Trophy

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Taunton Town	12	+7	19
21	Havant & Wville	13	−8	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · havant & wville winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Havant & Wville a 46% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.8, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Havant & Wville v Taunton Town~~2.11 – 1.78

~~Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern South this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 9 v 19~~21 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Havant & Wville win	46%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Taunton Town win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	72%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
Havant & Wville or draw	67%	–	–
Havant & Wville clean sheet	18%	–	–
Taunton Town clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.0%

0123450 2.4 3.6 3.3 1 4.4 7.8 6.7 3.9 2 4.7 8.0 6.9 4.1 3 3.3 5.6 4.8 2.9 4 3.0 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Havant & Wville down, Taunton Town across0–5 goals a side shown (96.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,450 Non League Premier - Southern South matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Non League Premier - Southern South matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.2% of games this season, across 134 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.11 goals a meeting; 5 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Havant & Wville at home: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Taunton Town away: 2.50 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.11 goals for Havant & Wville, 1.78 for Taunton Town. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.11

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 9

~~Both scored~~5 of 9

~~Last meetings~~HAV 2–3 TAU · TAU 2–2 HAV · HAV 2–3 TAU · TAU 1–1 HAV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern South this season · since 12 Sept

HAVANT & WVILLE

LDLWDL1–2 · 1–1 · 3–6 · 4–1 · 2–2 · 0–1

TAUNTON TOWN

LLDLWW1–3 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 4–1 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Poole Town	12	+9	27
2	Uxbridge	11	+15	26
3	Bath City	13	+9	26
4	Hanworth Villa	13	+10	24
5	Plymouth Parkway	12	+12	23
6	Chichester City	13	+2	22
7	Taunton Town	12	+7	19
8	Chertsey Town	12	+7	19
9	Frome Town	13	+4	19
10	Wimborne Town	11	+11	18
11	Gosport Borough	13	+2	18
12	Berkhamsted	12	−2	16
13	Basingstoke Town	13	−4	15
14	Bracknell Town	13	−14	14
15	Yate Town	12	−9	13
16	Evesham United	13	−11	13
17	Sholing	11	−4	12
18	Hanwell Town	11	−4	11
19	Malvern Town	13	−15	11
20	Gloucester City	10	−3	10
21	Havant & Wville	13	−8	9
22	Chippenham Town	12	−14	9