Hanworth Villa v Chippenham Town

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hanworth Villa win at 64%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Hanworth Villa was 64% before kick-off and our model makes it 64% now. 0–0 · 64–19–17
3. 1′KICK-OFF Hanworth Villa v Chippenham Town
4. 11′Chippenham Town find the net on 11′. 0–1. 0–1 · 38–24–38
5. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Hanworth Villa 0–1 Chippenham Town
6. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Hanworth Villa win: 64% at kick-off, 38% now
7. 12′We said Hanworth Villa at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–1 · 38–24–38
8. 14′Chippenham Town ahead on 10′ through H. Sady. 0–1. 0–1 · 37–24–39
9. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Chippenham Town win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Hanworth Villa win 38%)
10. 21′We said Hanworth Villa at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–25–41
11. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Hanworth Villa win: 64% at kick-off, 34% now
12. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 30–26–44
13. 32′We said Hanworth Villa at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–27–44
14. 42′We said Hanworth Villa at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–28–48
15. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Hanworth Villa win: 64% at kick-off, 24% now
16. 45′HALF-TIME Hanworth Villa 0–1 Chippenham Town
17. 46′SECOND HALF Hanworth Villa 0–1 Chippenham Town
18. 48′A goal for Hanworth Villa on 48′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 49–33–17
19. 48′We said Hanworth Villa at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–33–17
20. 48′H. Vaughan scores for Hanworth Villa on 47′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 49–33–17
21. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Hanworth Villa 1–1 Chippenham Town
22. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Hanworth Villa win: 64% at kick-off, 49% now
23. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Hanworth Villa win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Chippenham Town win 51%)
24. 57′We said Hanworth Villa at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–39–16
25. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Hanworth Villa win: 64% at kick-off, 44% now
26. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Hanworth Villa win 42%)
27. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Hanworth Villa win: 64% at kick-off, 34% now
28. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Hanworth Villa win: 64% at kick-off, 23% now
29. 81′We said Hanworth Villa at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–73–8
30. 84′We said Hanworth Villa at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–81–6
31. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Hanworth Villa win: 64% at kick-off, 13% now
32. 88′We said Hanworth Villa at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–4
33. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Hanworth Villa win: 64% at kick-off, 4% now
34. 94′We said Hanworth Villa at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 1–1 · 3–96–1
35. FTFULL TIME Hanworth Villa 1–1 Chippenham Town
36. FTHanworth Villa 1–1 Chippenham Town · Hanworth Villa win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.