Gloucester City v Taunton Town prediction · Non League Premier

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

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2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

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3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

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The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 19:33 · postponed, not graded

Gloucester City win56%

Draw20%

Taunton Town win24%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 19:45

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Gloucester City

Taunton Town

3Days since last match3

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Taunton Town	10	0	13
19	Gloucester City	10	−3	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gloucester city winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 19:33 · postponed, not graded

56% The market55%

Us56%

~~Market~~55%

We make Gloucester City a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.3–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · gloucester city win The market, margin stripped

Published at 54%, 56% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gloucester City win	56%	55%	+1
Draw	20%	23%	−3
Taunton Town win	24%	23%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	72%	65%	+7
Both teams to score	69%	65%	+4
Over 1.5 goals	89%	84%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	52%	46%	+6
Gloucester City or draw	76%	77%	−1
Gloucester City clean sheet	24%	–	–
Taunton Town clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.7%

0123450 2.6 3.3 2.5 1 5.3 7.9 5.6 2.8 2 6.1 8.7 6.3 3.1 3 4.7 6.7 4.8 2.4 4 2.7 3.9 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Gloucester City down, Taunton Town across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,426 Non League Premier - Southern South matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Non League Premier - Southern South matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.1% of games this season, across 110 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Gloucester City at home: 1.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Taunton Town away: 2.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.31 goals for Gloucester City, 1.47 for Taunton Town. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~GLO 0–2 TAU · TAU 2–1 GLO · GLO 2–2 TAU · TAU 3–3 GLO

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern South

GLOUCESTER CITY

DLDLDW3–3 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–5 · 1–1 · 3–1

TAUNTON TOWN

WWLLDL4–3 · 4–1 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Poole Town	11	+6	24
2	Uxbridge	10	+12	23
3	Plymouth Parkway	10	+13	20
4	Hanworth Villa	10	+7	19
5	Bath City	10	+4	17
6	Frome Town	11	+4	16
7	Chichester City	10	0	16
8	Berkhamsted	11	0	16
9	Wimborne Town	9	+9	15
10	Chertsey Town	10	+5	15
11	Gosport Borough	11	+1	15
12	Taunton Town	10	0	13
13	Evesham United	10	−4	13
14	Basingstoke Town	10	+1	12
15	Yate Town	10	−8	12
16	Sholing	9	−3	11
17	Bracknell Town	10	−8	11
18	Hanwell Town	9	−2	10
19	Gloucester City	10	−3	10
20	Chippenham Town	9	−9	8
21	Havant & Wville	10	−10	5
22	Malvern Town	10	−15	5