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Evesham United v Taunton Town
Evesham United
Taunton TownNon League Premier - Southern South · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Taunton Town win at 39%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Taunton Town 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 38–24–39
- 1′KICK-OFF Evesham United v Taunton Town
- 8′Little has changed for our model: Taunton Town 39% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 37–25–38
- 10′Taunton Town score on 10′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 18–20–63
- 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Evesham United 0–1 Taunton Town
- 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Taunton Town win: 39% at kick-off, 63% now
- 11′We said Taunton Town at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 63%. 0–1 · 17–20–63
- 13′Evesham United find the net on 13′. 1–1. 1–1 · 37–26–38
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Evesham United 1–1 Taunton Town
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Taunton Town win: 39% at kick-off, 38% now
- 15′Evesham United level it on 10′ through S. Obieri. 1–1. 1–1 · 37–26–37
- 29′A goal for Taunton Town on 29′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 14–21–65
- 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Evesham United 1–2 Taunton Town
- 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Taunton Town win: 39% at kick-off, 65% now
- 30′B. Seymour scores for Taunton Town on 27′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 14–21–65
- 30′We said Taunton Town at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 1–2 · 14–21–65
- 39′Taunton Town score on 39′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 3–9–88
- 39′We said Taunton Town at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 1–3 · 3–9–88
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Evesham United 1–3 Taunton Town
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Taunton Town win: 39% at kick-off, 88% now
- 40′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 3–9–88
- 41′37′: A. Moulden on the scoresheet for Taunton Town, making it 1–3. 1–3 · 3–8–89
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Taunton Town win: 39% at kick-off, 89% now
- 45′We said Taunton Town at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–3 · 3–8–90
- 45′HALF-TIME Evesham United 1–3 Taunton Town
- 46′SECOND HALF Evesham United 1–3 Taunton Town
- 64′We said Taunton Town at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–3 · 1–5–95
- 74′Taunton Town find the net on 73′. 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
- 74′We said Taunton Town at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 1–4 · 0–0–100
- 74′5 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 0–0–100
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 73' Evesham United 1–4 Taunton Town
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Taunton Town win: 39% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 80′Taunton Town ahead on 69′ through M. Davies. 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Evesham United 1–4 Taunton Town
- FTEvesham United 1–4 Taunton Town · Taunton Town win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassClose to call, with Taunton Town just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Evesham United 38%, draw 24%, Taunton Town 39%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 63%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Evesham United win38%
Taunton Town win39%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 13
Match timeline
All events
Evesham UnitedMIN
Taunton TownEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Evesham United
Taunton Town
Last match: 13 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South
Last match: 10 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Taunton Town a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.6–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 37%, 39% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evesham United win | 38% | 34% | +4 |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | −3 |
| Taunton Town win | 39% | 39% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 60% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 64% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 80% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 40% | 0 |
| Evesham United or draw | 61% | 61% | 0 |
| Evesham United clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
| Taunton Town clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern South this season · since 29 Aug
EVESHAM UNITED
TAUNTON TOWN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 11 | +6 | 24 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 11 | +14 | 23 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 11 | +10 | 22 |
| 5 | Bath City | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 12 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 | Chertsey Town | 11 | +5 | 16 |
| 9 | Berkhamsted | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Wimborne Town | 10 | +8 | 15 |
| 11 | Gosport Borough | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Taunton Town | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Evesham United | 11 | −6 | 13 |
| 14 | Basingstoke Town | 11 | −2 | 12 |
| 15 | Yate Town | 11 | −9 | 12 |
| 16 | Hanwell Town | 10 | −2 | 11 |
| 17 | Sholing | 10 | −4 | 11 |
| 18 | Bracknell Town | 11 | −11 | 11 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 10 | −3 | 10 |
| 20 | Havant & Wville | 11 | −7 | 8 |
| 21 | Chippenham Town | 10 | −11 | 8 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 11 | −14 | 8 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Poole Town
Plymouth Parkway
Uxbridge
Hanworth Villa
Bath City
Frome Town
Chichester City
Chertsey Town
Berkhamsted
Wimborne Town
Gosport Borough
Basingstoke Town
Yate Town
Hanwell Town
Sholing
Bracknell Town
Gloucester City
Havant & Wville
Chippenham Town
Malvern Town