Evesham United v Bracknell Town prediction · Non League Premier

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Evesham UnitedDrawBracknell Town

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Evesham United 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Evesham United are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Evesham United 40%, draw 24%, Bracknell Town 35%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Evesham United v Bracknell TownBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Evesham United win40%

Draw24%

Bracknell Town win35%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Evesham United

Bracknell Town

7Days since last match11

Last match: 24 Oct · the English FA Trophy

Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Bracknell Town	13	−14	14
16	Evesham United	13	−11	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · evesham united winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Evesham United a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Evesham United v Bracknell Town~~1.56 – 1.44

~~Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern South this season · since 19 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 13 v 14~~16 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Evesham United win	40%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Bracknell Town win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Evesham United or draw	65%	–	–
Evesham United clean sheet	24%	–	–
Bracknell Town clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 5.4 7.0 5.2 2.5 1 7.6 11.2 7.9 3.8 2 6.1 8.5 6.1 3.0 3 3.2 4.5 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Evesham United down, Bracknell Town across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,450 Non League Premier - Southern South matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Non League Premier - Southern South matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.2% of games this season, across 134 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Evesham United at home: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Bracknell Town away: 0.50 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.56 goals for Evesham United, 1.44 for Bracknell Town. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~EVE 1–1 BRA · BRA 2–3 EVE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern South this season · since 19 Sept

EVESHAM UNITED

WLLLLL2–0 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 1–4 · 0–2

BRACKNELL TOWN

WDLLWL2–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 1–0 · 0–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Poole Town	12	+9	27
2	Uxbridge	11	+15	26
3	Bath City	13	+9	26
4	Hanworth Villa	13	+10	24
5	Plymouth Parkway	12	+12	23
6	Chichester City	13	+2	22
7	Taunton Town	12	+7	19
8	Chertsey Town	12	+7	19
9	Frome Town	13	+4	19
10	Wimborne Town	11	+11	18
11	Gosport Borough	13	+2	18
12	Berkhamsted	12	−2	16
13	Basingstoke Town	13	−4	15
14	Bracknell Town	13	−14	14
15	Yate Town	12	−9	13
16	Evesham United	13	−11	13
17	Sholing	11	−4	12
18	Hanwell Town	11	−4	11
19	Malvern Town	13	−15	11
20	Gloucester City	10	−3	10
21	Havant & Wville	13	−8	9
22	Chippenham Town	12	−14	9