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Stamford v Halesowen Town

Stamford

15:00Upcoming

Halesowen Town

Non League Premier - Southern Central · SAT 31 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

StamfordDrawHalesowen Town

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Halesowen Town 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Halesowen Town are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Stamford 22%, draw 23%, Halesowen Town 55%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Stamford v Halesowen TownBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Stamford win22%

Draw23%

Halesowen Town win55%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Stamford

Halesowen Town

11Days since last match7

Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central

Last match: 24 Oct · the English FA Trophy

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Halesowen Town	11	−3	17
22	Stamford	13	−32	1

In the news

from the pressAll ›

Spurs pick up rare Stamford Bridge win as Palmer sent offBBC Sport · 24 Oct 20:17 · Tottenham, Stamford

Chelsea and Tottenham fans face travel chaos getting to Stamford Bridge for London derbyEvening Standard · 24 Oct 09:59 · Chelsea, Tottenham, Stamford

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · halesowen town winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Halesowen Town a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Stamford v Halesowen Town~~1.04 – 1.80

~~Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D1 L5 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 1 v 17~~22 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Stamford win	22%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Halesowen Town win	55%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Stamford or draw	45%	–	–
Stamford clean sheet	17%	–	–
Halesowen Town clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 6.4 10.4 9.4 5.7 2.7 1 6.0 11.0 9.4 5.7 2.6 2 3.3 5.6 4.9 2.9 3 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Stamford down, Halesowen Town across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,973 Non League Premier - Southern Central matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Non League Premier - Southern Central matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.4% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Stamford at home: 0.17 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Halesowen Town away: 0.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.04 goals for Stamford, 1.80 for Halesowen Town. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~HAL 3–1 STA · STA 1–1 HAL · STA 2–2 HAL · HAL 2–0 STA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central this season · since 12 Sept

STAMFORD

LLLDLL0–3 · 0–4 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 0–4 · 0–3

HALESOWEN TOWN

WWDDWL4–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Real Bedford	13	+21	32
2	Bury Town	14	+4	31
3	Bromsgrove Sporting	12	+10	27
4	Rushall Olympic	14	+9	27
5	Needham Market	13	+9	23
6	Peterborough Sports	13	+7	23
7	Kettering Town	12	+13	22
8	Alvechurch	12	+12	22
9	Anstey Nomads	11	+4	19
10	Racing Club Warwick	13	+3	17
11	Halesowen Town	11	−3	17
12	Stourbridge	12	−2	16
13	Redditch United	11	+1	14
14	Hitchin Town	14	−4	13
15	Bishop's Stortford	13	−6	13
16	Banbury United	13	−7	13
17	Leiston	11	−4	12
18	Stratford Town	13	−8	12
19	Leamington	13	−6	10
20	Worcester City	11	−8	7
21	Leighton Town	12	−13	5
22	Stamford	13	−32	1