Home › Football › Non League Premier - Southern Central › Rushall Olympic v Worcester City

Rushall Olympic v Worcester City

Rushall Olympic

1–0Full time

Worcester City

Non League Premier - Southern Central · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Rushall Olympic 1–0 Worcester City RUSHALL OLYMPIC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Rushall Olympic win~~46%

~~The market said~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.433

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.403

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 6 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Rushall Olympic win at 46%.
2′KICK-OFF Rushall Olympic v Worcester City
5′Much as we predicted: Rushall Olympic was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–24–30
26′Rushall Olympic ahead on 23′ through C. Lycett. 1–0. 1–0 · 71–18–10
26′⚽ GOAL · 23' Rushall Olympic 1–0 Worcester City
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Rushall Olympic win: 46% at kick-off, 71% now
45′HALF-TIME Rushall Olympic 1–0 Worcester City
47′SECOND HALF Rushall Olympic 1–0 Worcester City
FTFULL TIME Rushall Olympic 1–0 Worcester City
FTRushall Olympic 1–0 Worcester City · Rushall Olympic win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Rushall Olympic win46%

Draw23%

Worcester City win30%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rushall olympic winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

46% The market48%

Us46%

~~Market~~48%

We make Rushall Olympic a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · rushall olympic win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 46% to 48% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rushall Olympic win	46%	48%	−2
Draw	23%	26%	−3
Worcester City win	30%	26%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	59%	53%	+6
Both teams to score	60%	56%	+4
Over 1.5 goals	81%	75%	+6
Over 3.5 goals	37%	33%	+4
Rushall Olympic or draw	70%	74%	−4
Rushall Olympic clean sheet	27%	–	–
Worcester City clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 5.1 6.3 4.3 1 8.0 10.6 7.0 3.2 2 6.8 8.8 5.9 2.7 3 4.0 5.1 3.4 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rushall Olympic down, Worcester City across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,936 Non League Premier - Southern Central matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Non League Premier - Southern Central matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.0% of games this season, across 100 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Rushall Olympic at home: 2.33 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Worcester City away: 1.00 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.74 goals for Rushall Olympic, 1.35 for Worcester City. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2022

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central

RUSHALL OLYMPIC

WLLWLW3–0 · 0–1 · 2–4 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 5–3

WORCESTER CITY

WDLLDD1–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Real Bedford	9	+19	27
2	Bury Town	9	+10	24
3	Bromsgrove Sporting	9	+9	22
4	Alvechurch	9	+13	20
5	Kettering Town	9	+10	18
6	Rushall Olympic	10	+4	18
7	Peterborough Sports	10	+4	16
8	Anstey Nomads	9	+3	15
9	Needham Market	9	+2	13
10	Halesowen Town	7	0	12
11	Leiston	9	0	11
12	Redditch United	9	−1	10
13	Racing Club Warwick	10	−3	10
14	Bishop's Stortford	9	−3	10
15	Stourbridge	9	−3	10
16	Leamington	9	−2	9
17	Worcester City	9	−5	7
18	Hitchin Town	10	−9	7
19	Banbury United	9	−7	6
20	Stratford Town	9	−9	6
21	Leighton Town	9	−8	5
22	Stamford	9	−24	0