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Home › Football › Non League Premier - Southern Central › Rushall Olympic v Leamington

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Rushall Olympic v Leamington

Rushall Olympic
3–1Full time
Leamington

Non League Premier - Southern Central · TUE 20 OCT

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 22:30
Rushall Olympic 3–1 Leamington RUSHALL OLYMPIC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Rushall Olympic win51%
The market said52%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.364
The market’s Brier score0.343

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 14 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Rushall Olympic win at 51%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Rushall Olympic 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–22–27
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Rushall Olympic v Leamington
  4. 20′Leamington find the net on 20′. 0–1. 0–1 · 24–23–52
  5. 20′We said Rushall Olympic at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–23–52
  6. 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Rushall Olympic 0–1 Leamington
  7. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Rushall Olympic win: 51% at kick-off, 24% now
  8. 20′THE CALL SWINGS · 20' Leamington win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Rushall Olympic win 48%)
  9. 26′A goal for Rushall Olympic on 26′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 46–27–26
  10. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Rushall Olympic 1–1 Leamington
  11. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Rushall Olympic win: 51% at kick-off, 46% now
  12. 26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' Rushall Olympic win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Leamington win 54%)
  13. 34′Rushall Olympic score on 34′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 74–17–9
  14. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Rushall Olympic 2–1 Leamington
  15. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Rushall Olympic win: 51% at kick-off, 74% now
  16. 35′We said Rushall Olympic at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 2–1 · 74–17–9
  17. 39′We said Rushall Olympic at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–17–8
  18. 45′HALF-TIME Rushall Olympic 2–1 Leamington
  19. 46′35′: C. Lycett on the scoresheet for Rushall Olympic, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 75–18–7
  20. 46′SECOND HALF Rushall Olympic 2–1 Leamington
  21. 54′Rushall Olympic find the net on 54′. 3–1. 3–1 · 94–5–1
  22. 54′We said Rushall Olympic at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 3–1 · 94–5–1
  23. 54′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 94–5–1
  24. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Rushall Olympic 3–1 Leamington
  25. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Rushall Olympic win: 51% at kick-off, 94% now
  26. 55′We said Rushall Olympic at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
  27. 83′We said Rushall Olympic at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  28. FTFULL TIME Rushall Olympic 3–1 Leamington
  29. FTRushall Olympic 3–1 Leamington · Rushall Olympic win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rushall Olympic are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rushall Olympic 51%, draw 22%, Leamington 27%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Rushall Olympic v LeamingtonBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

Rushall Olympic win51%
Draw22%
Leamington win27%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rushall Olympic

Leamington

3Days since last match3

Last match: 17 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central

Last match: 17 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Rushall Olympic13+724
16Leamington12−410

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rushall olympic winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · updated 18 Oct 00:17 · locked at kick-off
51% The market52%
Us51%
Market52%

We make Rushall Olympic a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.0–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Rushall Olympic v Leamington1.95 – 1.36
Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central this season · since 12 SeptW4 D0 L2 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 24 v 104 v 16
The market · Rushall Olympic win52% · ours 51%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 14 OCT 04:2820 OCT 19:08
Our probability · Rushall Olympic win The market, margin stripped

Published at 47%, 51% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Rushall Olympic win51%52%−1
Draw22%24%−2
Leamington win27%23%+4
Over 2.5 goals63%60%+3
Both teams to score62%60%+2
Over 1.5 goals84%79%+5
Over 3.5 goals42%40%+2
Rushall Olympic or draw73%77%−4
Rushall Olympic clean sheet27%––
Leamington clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%
0123450 4.3 5.0 3.5 1 7.1 9.8 6.4 2.9 2 6.9 9.0 6.0 2.8 3 4.5 5.8 3.9 4 2.3 2.9 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Rushall Olympic down, Leamington across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.52 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsRUS 2–1 LEA · LEA 2–1 RUS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central this season · since 12 Sept

RUSHALL OLYMPIC

WLWWLW3–2 · 0–1 · 5–3 · 1–0 · 2–3 · 3–0

LEAMINGTON

LDWLDL1–3 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Real Bedford11+2331
2Bury Town12+830
3Bromsgrove Sporting12+1027
4Rushall Olympic13+724
5Peterborough Sports13+723
6Alvechurch11+1221
7Needham Market12+820
8Kettering Town11+919
9Anstey Nomads11+419
10Halesowen Town10+117
11Stourbridge12−216
12Redditch United11+114
13Racing Club Warwick12−114
14Leiston10012
15Stratford Town12−811
16Leamington12−410
17Bishop's Stortford11−710
18Banbury United12−810
19Worcester City11−87
20Hitchin Town12−117
21Leighton Town11−125
22Stamford12−291

The competition's standings before kick-off.