Redditch United v Worcester City prediction · Non League Premier

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Redditch United are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Redditch United 43%, draw 26%, Worcester City 30%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Redditch United v Worcester CityBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 13 Oct 05:25 · postponed, not graded

Redditch United win43%

Draw26%

Worcester City win30%

Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Redditch United

Worcester City

6Days since last match2

Last match: 13 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central

Last match: 17 Oct · the English FA Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Redditch United	11	+1	14
19	Worcester City	11	−8	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · redditch united winFirst published 13 Oct 05:25 · updated 14 Oct 04:39 · postponed, not graded

43% The market53%

Us43%

~~Market~~53%

We make Redditch United a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Redditch United v Worcester City~~1.45 – 1.16

~~Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central this season · since 31 Aug~~W3 D2 L1 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 14 v 7~~12 v 19

~~The market · Redditch United win~~53% · ours 43%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Redditch United win The market, margin stripped

Published at 42%, 43% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Redditch United win	43%	53%	−10
Draw	26%	25%	+1
Worcester City win	30%	22%	+8
Over 2.5 goals	48%	53%	−5
Both teams to score	52%	54%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	73%	74%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	27%	32%	−5
Redditch United or draw	70%	78%	−8
Redditch United clean sheet	32%	–	–
Worcester City clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 7.9 8.4 5.0 1 10.4 12.4 7.0 2.8 2 7.6 8.7 5.0 3 3.7 4.2 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Redditch United down, Worcester City across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,963 Non League Premier - Southern Central matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Non League Premier - Southern Central matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.9% of games this season, across 127 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Redditch United at home: 2.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Worcester City away: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.45 goals for Redditch United, 1.16 for Worcester City. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~WOR 3–1 RED · RED 1–4 WOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central this season · since 31 Aug

REDDITCH UNITED

WLWDWD3–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 2–2

WORCESTER CITY

LLDDLL0–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Real Bedford	11	+23	31
2	Bury Town	12	+8	30
3	Bromsgrove Sporting	12	+10	27
4	Rushall Olympic	13	+7	24
5	Peterborough Sports	13	+7	23
6	Alvechurch	11	+12	21
7	Needham Market	12	+8	20
8	Kettering Town	11	+9	19
9	Anstey Nomads	11	+4	19
10	Halesowen Town	10	+1	17
11	Stourbridge	12	−2	16
12	Redditch United	11	+1	14
13	Racing Club Warwick	12	−1	14
14	Leiston	10	0	12
15	Stratford Town	12	−8	11
16	Leamington	12	−4	10
17	Bishop's Stortford	11	−7	10
18	Banbury United	12	−8	10
19	Worcester City	11	−8	7
20	Hitchin Town	12	−11	7
21	Leighton Town	11	−12	5
22	Stamford	12	−29	1