Real Bedford v Bury Town

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Real Bedford win at 59%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Real Bedford was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–21–20
3. 1′KICK-OFF Real Bedford v Bury Town
4. 6′PENALTY MISSED · 6' Real Bedford
5. 16′Real Bedford score on 16′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 80–13–7
6. 16′We published Real Bedford at 59%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–13–7
7. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Real Bedford 1–0 Bury Town
8. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Real Bedford win: 59% at kick-off, 80% now
9. 18′Bury Town find the net on 18′. 1–1. 1–1 · 56–24–20
10. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Real Bedford 1–1 Bury Town
11. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Real Bedford win: 59% at kick-off, 56% now
12. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Real Bedford win: 59% at kick-off, 49% now
13. 42′A goal for Real Bedford on 42′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 80–15–5
14. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Real Bedford 2–1 Bury Town
15. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Real Bedford win: 59% at kick-off, 80% now
16. 43′GOAL DISALLOWED · 43' Real Bedford
17. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Real Bedford win: 59% at kick-off, 48% now
18. 45′HALF-TIME Real Bedford 1–1 Bury Town
19. 46′SECOND HALF Real Bedford 1–1 Bury Town
20. 58′A goal for Bury Town on 58′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 13–27–59
21. 58′We said Real Bedford at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–2 · 13–27–59
22. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Real Bedford 1–2 Bury Town
23. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Real Bedford win: 59% at kick-off, 13% now
24. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Bury Town win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Real Bedford win 41%)
25. 66′We said Real Bedford at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–26–65
26. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Real Bedford win: 59% at kick-off, 9% now
27. 75′We said Real Bedford at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–74
28. 76′Real Bedford score on 76′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 25–63–12
29. 76′We said Real Bedford at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 2–2 · 25–63–12
30. 76′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 25–63–12
31. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Real Bedford 2–2 Bury Town
32. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Real Bedford win: 59% at kick-off, 25% now
33. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Bury Town win 74%)
34. 77′We said Real Bedford at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 2–2 · 23–65–12
35. 80′We said Real Bedford at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–71–10
36. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Real Bedford win: 59% at kick-off, 19% now
37. 82′A red card for Bury Town on 82′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–2 · 16–76–8
38. 82′🟥 RED CARD · 82' Bury Town
39. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Real Bedford win: 59% at kick-off, 9% now
40. FTFULL TIME Real Bedford 2–2 Bury Town
41. FTReal Bedford 2–2 Bury Town · Real Bedford win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.