Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Non League Premier - Southern Central › Racing Club Warwick v Halesowen Town

Back
England flag

Racing Club Warwick v Halesowen Town

Racing Club Warwick
5–1Full time
Halesowen Town

Non League Premier - Southern Central · TUE 20 OCT

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 22:30
Racing Club Warwick 5–1 Halesowen Town HALESOWEN TOWN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Halesowen Town win43%
The market said44%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.703
The market’s Brier score0.761

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay18 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Halesowen Town win at 43%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Halesowen Town 43% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 32–25–42
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Racing Club Warwick v Halesowen Town
  4. 3′A goal for Racing Club Warwick on 3′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 58–21–21
  5. 3′We said Halesowen Town at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 1–0 · 58–21–21
  6. 3′A goal for Racing Club Warwick on 1′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 58–21–21
  7. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Racing Club Warwick 1–0 Halesowen Town
  8. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Halesowen Town win: 43% at kick-off, 21% now
  9. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Racing Club Warwick win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Halesowen Town win 42%)
  10. 7′Racing Club Warwick score on 7′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 80–12–8
  11. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Racing Club Warwick 2–0 Halesowen Town
  12. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Halesowen Town win: 43% at kick-off, 8% now
  13. 8′6′: A. Hamp on the scoresheet for Racing Club Warwick, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 80–12–8
  14. 8′We said Halesowen Town at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 2–0 · 80–12–8
  15. 23′Racing Club Warwick find the net on 23′. 3–0. 3–0 · 94–4–2
  16. 23′We said Halesowen Town at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 3–0 · 94–4–2
  17. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Racing Club Warwick 3–0 Halesowen Town
  18. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Halesowen Town win: 43% at kick-off, 2% now
  19. 25′A goal for Racing Club Warwick on 25′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 99–1–0
  20. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Racing Club Warwick 4–0 Halesowen Town
  21. 27′A goal for Racing Club Warwick on 24′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 99–1–0
  22. 30′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 99–1–0
  23. 45′Racing Club Warwick score on 44′ to make it 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  24. 45′5 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  25. 45′⚽ GOAL · 44' Racing Club Warwick 5–0 Halesowen Town
  26. 45′HALF-TIME Racing Club Warwick 5–0 Halesowen Town
  27. 46′SECOND HALF Racing Club Warwick 5–0 Halesowen Town
  28. 47′43′: Williams on the scoresheet for Racing Club Warwick, making it 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  29. 48′Halesowen Town find the net on 48′. 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  30. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Racing Club Warwick 5–1 Halesowen Town
  31. 49′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  32. 51′Halesowen Town pull one back on 47′ through J. Cowley. 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  33. 59′PENALTY MISSED · 59' Halesowen Town
  34. FTFULL TIME Racing Club Warwick 5–1 Halesowen Town
  35. FTRacing Club Warwick 5–1 Halesowen Town · Halesowen Town win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Halesowen Town are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Racing Club Warwick 32%, draw 25%, Halesowen Town 43%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Racing Club Warwick v Halesowen TownBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

Racing Club Warwick win32%
Draw25%
Halesowen Town win43%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Racing Club Warwick

Halesowen Town

3Days since last match3

Last match: 17 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central

Last match: 17 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central

2Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Halesowen Town10+117
13Racing Club Warwick12−114

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · halesowen town winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · updated 18 Oct 00:17 · locked at kick-off
43% The market44%
Us43%
Market44%

We make Halesowen Town a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Racing Club Warwick v Halesowen Town1.31 – 1.54
Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central this season · since 31 AugW2 D2 L2 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 14 v 1713 v 10
The market · Halesowen Town win44% · ours 43%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 14 OCT 04:2820 OCT 19:08
Our probability · Halesowen Town win The market, margin stripped

Published at 44%, 43% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Racing Club Warwick win32%29%+3
Draw25%27%−2
Halesowen Town win43%44%−1
Over 2.5 goals54%55%−1
Both teams to score57%59%−2
Over 1.5 goals77%76%+1
Over 3.5 goals32%35%−3
Racing Club Warwick or draw57%56%+1
Racing Club Warwick clean sheet22%––
Halesowen Town clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%
0123450 6.4 8.8 6.9 3.6 1 7.4 11.7 8.7 4.5 2 5.0 7.4 5.6 2.9 3 2.2 3.3 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Racing Club Warwick down, Halesowen Town across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central this season · since 31 Aug

RACING CLUB WARWICK

LLDWDW2–3 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 4–2

HALESOWEN TOWN

LWWDDW1–3 · 4–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Real Bedford11+2331
2Bury Town12+830
3Bromsgrove Sporting12+1027
4Rushall Olympic13+724
5Peterborough Sports13+723
6Alvechurch11+1221
7Needham Market12+820
8Kettering Town11+919
9Anstey Nomads11+419
10Halesowen Town10+117
11Stourbridge12−216
12Redditch United11+114
13Racing Club Warwick12−114
14Leiston10012
15Stratford Town12−811
16Leamington12−410
17Bishop's Stortford11−710
18Banbury United12−810
19Worcester City11−87
20Hitchin Town12−117
21Leighton Town11−125
22Stamford12−291

The competition's standings before kick-off.