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Peterborough Sports v Leiston

Peterborough Sports

19:45Upcoming

Leiston

Non League Premier - Southern Central · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Peterborough SportsDrawLeiston

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Peterborough Sports 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Peterborough Sports are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Peterborough Sports 51%, draw 22%, Leiston 27%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Peterborough Sports v LeistonBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Peterborough Sports win51%

Draw22%

Leiston win27%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Peterborough Sports

Leiston

10Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central

Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Peterborough Sports	13	+7	23
17	Leiston	11	−4	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · peterborough sports winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Peterborough Sports a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Peterborough Sports v Leiston~~1.94 – 1.36

~~Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central this season · since 31 Aug~~W4 D2 L0 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 23 v 12~~6 v 17

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Peterborough Sports win	51%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Leiston win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Peterborough Sports or draw	73%	–	–
Peterborough Sports clean sheet	26%	–	–
Leiston clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 4.1 5.0 3.5 1 7.1 9.8 6.5 3.0 2 6.9 9.1 6.2 2.8 3 4.5 5.9 4.0 4 2.2 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Peterborough Sports down, Leiston across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,973 Non League Premier - Southern Central matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Non League Premier - Southern Central matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.4% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Peterborough Sports at home: 2.17 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Leiston away: 1.50 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.94 goals for Peterborough Sports, 1.36 for Leiston. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~LEI 0–2 PET · LEI 1–4 PET

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central this season · since 31 Aug

PETERBOROUGH SPORTS

WDWWWD2–0 · 2–2 · 4–2 · 1–0 · 4–2 · 1–1

LEISTON

LWLLDL3–4 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 0–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Real Bedford	13	+21	32
2	Bury Town	14	+4	31
3	Bromsgrove Sporting	12	+10	27
4	Rushall Olympic	14	+9	27
5	Needham Market	13	+9	23
6	Peterborough Sports	13	+7	23
7	Kettering Town	12	+13	22
8	Alvechurch	12	+12	22
9	Anstey Nomads	11	+4	19
10	Racing Club Warwick	13	+3	17
11	Halesowen Town	11	−3	17
12	Stourbridge	12	−2	16
13	Redditch United	11	+1	14
14	Hitchin Town	14	−4	13
15	Bishop's Stortford	13	−6	13
16	Banbury United	13	−7	13
17	Leiston	11	−4	12
18	Stratford Town	13	−8	12
19	Leamington	13	−6	10
20	Worcester City	11	−8	7
21	Leighton Town	12	−13	5
22	Stamford	13	−32	1