Leamington v Needham Market

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Leamington win at 38%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Leamington 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–25–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF Leamington v Needham Market
4. 3′A goal for Needham Market on 2′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 18–20–62
5. 3′We said Leamington at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–20–62
6. 3′⚽ GOAL · 2' Leamington 0–1 Needham Market
7. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Leamington win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
8. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Needham Market win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Leamington win 18%)
9. 7′A goal for Needham Market on 2′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–20–63
10. 8′We said Leamington at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–20–63
11. 18′Leamington score on 18′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 36–28–36
12. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Leamington 1–1 Needham Market
13. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Leamington win: 38% at kick-off, 36% now
14. 19′Little has changed for our model: Leamington 38% before kick-off, 36% now. 1–1 · 36–29–35
15. 21′Needham Market find the net on 20′. 1–2. 1–2 · 15–21–64
16. 21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Leamington 1–2 Needham Market
17. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Leamington win: 38% at kick-off, 15% now
18. 23′We said Leamington at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–21–65
19. 30′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 13–21–66
20. 45′HALF-TIME Leamington 1–2 Needham Market
21. 46′We said Leamington at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–22–69
22. 46′SECOND HALF Leamington 1–2 Needham Market
23. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Leamington win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
24. 59′Needham Market are down to ten from 58′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–2 · 6–21–73
25. 59′🟥 RED CARD · 58' Needham Market
26. 66′We said Leamington at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–19–77
27. 79′Leamington have ten men and Needham Market ten after the red cards. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–2 · 1–13–86
28. 79′🟥 RED CARD · 79' Leamington
29. FTFULL TIME Leamington 1–2 Needham Market
30. FTLeamington 1–2 Needham Market · Leamington win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.