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Halesowen Town v Alvechurch
Halesowen TownAlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central · TUE 13 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Halesowen Town win at 47%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Halesowen Town 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–26–27
- 1′KICK-OFF Halesowen Town v Alvechurch
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Halesowen Town win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Halesowen Town 0–0 Alvechurch
- 46′SECOND HALF Halesowen Town 0–0 Alvechurch
- 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Halesowen Town win 36%)
- 49′We said Halesowen Town at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–42–22
- 51′We said Halesowen Town at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–44–22
- 56′Goalless on 56′ when we expected about 2.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 32–47–21
- 62′We said Halesowen Town at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–19
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Halesowen Town win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Halesowen Town 0–1 Alvechurch
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Halesowen Town 1–1 Alvechurch
- 90′78′ and it is 1–1: B. Cassidy on the scoresheet for Halesowen Town. 1–1 · 5–92–3
- 90′We said Halesowen Town at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 1–1 · 5–92–3
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Halesowen Town win: 47% at kick-off, 5% now
- FTFULL TIME Halesowen Town 1–1 Alvechurch
- FTHalesowen Town 1–1 Alvechurch · Halesowen Town win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassOur analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.
What decides it
The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.
– –Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.
– –What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.
– –The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.
See the passesPre-match prediction
Published 13 Oct 19:33 · locked at kick-off
Halesowen Town win47%Alvechurch win27%Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 19:45
Match timeline
All events
Halesowen TownMINAlvechurchEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Halesowen Town
Alvechurch
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alvechurch | 10 | +12 | 20 |
| 11 | Halesowen Town | 8 | 0 | 13 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Halesowen Town a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 33%. We are 14 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 33% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Halesowen Town win | 47% | 33% | +14 |
| Draw | 26% | 29% | −3 |
| Alvechurch win | 27% | 37% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 46% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 52% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 70% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 27% | −1 |
| Halesowen Town or draw | 73% | 63% | +11 |
| Halesowen Town clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
| Alvechurch clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2024Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central
HALESOWEN TOWN
ALVECHURCH
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 10 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 10 | +11 | 27 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 10 | +9 | 23 |
| 4 |  Rushall Olympic | 11 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 | Alvechurch | 10 | +12 | 20 |
| 6 |  Kettering Town | 10 | +10 | 19 |
| 7 |  Peterborough Sports | 11 | +5 | 19 |
| 8 |  Anstey Nomads | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Needham Market | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Redditch United | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Halesowen Town | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 |  Stourbridge | 10 | −2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Leiston | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 |  Racing Club Warwick | 11 | −3 | 11 |
| 15 |  Bishop's Stortford | 10 | −5 | 10 |
| 16 |  Leamington | 10 | −3 | 9 |
| 17 |  Banbury United | 10 | −6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Stratford Town | 10 | −8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Worcester City | 10 | −6 | 7 |
| 20 |  Hitchin Town | 11 | −10 | 7 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 10 | −9 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 10 | −25 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.