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Bishop's Stortford v Stamford

Bishop's Stortford

19:45Upcoming

Stamford

Non League Premier - Southern Central · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Bishop's StortfordDrawStamford

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Bishop's Stortford 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bishop's Stortford are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bishop's Stortford 50%, draw 25%, Stamford 25%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Bishop's Stortford v StamfordBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Bishop's Stortford win50%

Draw25%

Stamford win25%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bishop's Stortford

Stamford

3Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central

Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
18	Bishop's Stortford	12	−8	10
22	Stamford	13	−32	1

In the news

from the pressAll ›

Spurs pick up rare Stamford Bridge win as Palmer sent offBBC Sport · 24 Oct 20:17 · Stamford

Chelsea and Tottenham fans face travel chaos getting to Stamford Bridge for London derbyEvening Standard · 24 Oct 09:59 · Chelsea, Stamford

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bishop's stortford winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Bishop's Stortford a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bishop's Stortford v Stamford~~1.64 – 1.06

~~Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 10 v 1~~18 v 22

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bishop's Stortford win	50%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Stamford win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Bishop's Stortford or draw	75%	–	–
Bishop's Stortford clean sheet	35%	–	–
Stamford clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 7.2 7.0 3.9 1 10.8 11.7 6.1 2.2 2 8.9 9.2 4.9 3 4.9 5.1 2.7 4 2.1 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bishop's Stortford down, Stamford across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,970 Non League Premier - Southern Central matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Non League Premier - Southern Central matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.5% of games this season, across 134 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bishop's Stortford at home: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Stamford away: 0.33 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for Bishop's Stortford, 1.06 for Stamford. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 5

~~Both scored~~1 of 5

~~Last meetings~~STA 0–3 BIS · STA 1–0 BIS · BIS 1–0 STA · STA 1–0 BIS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central this season · since 19 Sept

BISHOP'S STORTFORD

WLLLLW3–0 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 3–1

STAMFORD

LLLDLL0–3 · 0–4 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 0–4 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Real Bedford	12	+23	32
2	Bury Town	13	+8	31
3	Bromsgrove Sporting	12	+10	27
4	Rushall Olympic	14	+9	27
5	Needham Market	13	+9	23
6	Peterborough Sports	13	+7	23
7	Kettering Town	12	+13	22
8	Alvechurch	11	+12	21
9	Anstey Nomads	11	+4	19
10	Racing Club Warwick	13	+3	17
11	Halesowen Town	11	−3	17
12	Stourbridge	12	−2	16
13	Redditch United	11	+1	14
14	Banbury United	13	−7	13
15	Leiston	11	−4	12
16	Stratford Town	12	−8	11
17	Leamington	13	−6	10
18	Bishop's Stortford	12	−8	10
19	Hitchin Town	13	−8	10
20	Worcester City	11	−8	7
21	Leighton Town	12	−13	5
22	Stamford	13	−32	1