Bishop's Stortford v Real Bedford

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Real Bedford win at 64%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Real Bedford was 64% before kick-off and our model makes it 64% now. 0–0 · 17–19–64
3. 1′KICK-OFF Bishop's Stortford v Real Bedford
4. 17′A red card for Real Bedford on 17′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 18–22–60
5. 17′🟥 RED CARD · 17' Real Bedford
6. 34′A goal for Bishop's Stortford on 34′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 45–26–29
7. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Bishop's Stortford 1–0 Real Bedford
8. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Real Bedford win: 64% at kick-off, 29% now
9. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Bishop's Stortford win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Real Bedford win 55%)
10. 35′We said Real Bedford at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 1–0 · 45–27–28
11. 35′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 1–0 · 45–27–28
12. 43′We said Real Bedford at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 48–28–24
13. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Real Bedford win: 64% at kick-off, 24% now
14. 45′HALF-TIME Bishop's Stortford 2–0 Real Bedford
15. 46′SECOND HALF Bishop's Stortford 2–0 Real Bedford
16. 48′Bishop's Stortford score on 45′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 79–14–7
17. 48′We said Real Bedford at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 2–0 · 79–14–7
18. 48′⚽ GOAL · 45+3' Bishop's Stortford 2–0 Real Bedford
19. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+3' Real Bedford win: 64% at kick-off, 7% now
20. 53′Real Bedford find the net on 52′. 2–1. 2–1 · 53–28–19
21. 53′We said Real Bedford at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–1 · 53–28–19
22. 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Bishop's Stortford 2–1 Real Bedford
23. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Real Bedford win: 64% at kick-off, 19% now
24. 60′We said Real Bedford at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–1 · 58–28–14
25. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Real Bedford win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
26. 76′A goal for Bishop's Stortford on 75′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 95–4–1
27. 76′We said Real Bedford at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
28. 76′4 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 95–4–1
29. 76′⚽ GOAL · 75' Bishop's Stortford 3–1 Real Bedford
30. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Real Bedford win: 64% at kick-off, 1% now
31. 81′Real Bedford are down to nine from 81′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 3–1 · 98–2–0
32. 81′🟥 RED CARD · 81' Real Bedford
33. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 81' J. Ponticelli · Real Bedford
34. FTFULL TIME Bishop's Stortford 3–1 Real Bedford
35. FTBishop's Stortford 3–1 Real Bedford · Real Bedford win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.