Anstey Nomads v Bishop's Stortford prediction · Non League Premier

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Anstey NomadsDrawBishop's Stortford

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Anstey Nomads 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Anstey Nomads are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Anstey Nomads 56%, draw 22%, Bishop's Stortford 22%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Anstey Nomads v Bishop's StortfordBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Anstey Nomads win56%

Draw22%

Bishop's Stortford win22%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Anstey Nomads

Bishop's Stortford

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · the English FA Trophy

Last match: 24 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Anstey Nomads	11	+4	19
15	Bishop's Stortford	13	−6	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · anstey nomads winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Anstey Nomads a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Anstey Nomads v Bishop's Stortford~~2.00 – 1.19

~~Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central this season · since 31 Aug~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 19 v 13~~9 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Anstey Nomads win	56%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Bishop's Stortford win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Anstey Nomads or draw	78%	–	–
Anstey Nomads clean sheet	31%	–	–
Bishop's Stortford clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.9%

0123450 4.6 4.9 3.0 1 8.2 9.9 5.7 2.3 2 8.2 9.5 5.6 2.3 3 5.4 6.3 3.7 4 2.8 3.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Anstey Nomads down, Bishop's Stortford across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,973 Non League Premier - Southern Central matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Non League Premier - Southern Central matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.4% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

Anstey Nomads at home: 2.20 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 5). Bishop's Stortford away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.00 goals for Anstey Nomads, 1.19 for Bishop's Stortford. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Southern Central this season · since 31 Aug

ANSTEY NOMADS

WWDLDW3–0 · 3–2 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 3–2

BISHOP'S STORTFORD

WLLLLW3–0 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Real Bedford	13	+21	32
2	Bury Town	14	+4	31
3	Bromsgrove Sporting	12	+10	27
4	Rushall Olympic	14	+9	27
5	Needham Market	13	+9	23
6	Peterborough Sports	13	+7	23
7	Kettering Town	12	+13	22
8	Alvechurch	12	+12	22
9	Anstey Nomads	11	+4	19
10	Racing Club Warwick	13	+3	17
11	Halesowen Town	11	−3	17
12	Stourbridge	12	−2	16
13	Redditch United	11	+1	14
14	Hitchin Town	14	−4	13
15	Bishop's Stortford	13	−6	13
16	Banbury United	13	−7	13
17	Leiston	11	−4	12
18	Stratford Town	13	−8	12
19	Leamington	13	−6	10
20	Worcester City	11	−8	7
21	Leighton Town	12	−13	5
22	Stamford	13	−32	1