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Whitby Town v Bamber Bridge

Whitby Town

0–0Full time

Bamber Bridge

Non League Premier - Northern · SAT 10 OCT · Turnbull Ground

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32

Whitby Town 0–0 Bamber Bridge WHITBY TOWN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Whitby Town win~~42%

~~The market said~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.911

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.852

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 5 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Whitby Town win at 42%.
1′KICK-OFF Whitby Town v Bamber Bridge
45′HALF-TIME Whitby Town 0–0 Bamber Bridge
46′SECOND HALF Whitby Town 0–0 Bamber Bridge
49′PENALTY MISSED · 49' Whitby Town
FTFULL TIME Whitby Town 0–0 Bamber Bridge
FTWhitby Town 0–0 Bamber Bridge · Whitby Town win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Whitby Town win42%

Draw22%

Bamber Bridge win36%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

Venue · Turnbull Ground

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · whitby town winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

42% The market38%

Us42%

~~Market~~38%

We make Whitby Town a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.6.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · whitby town win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Whitby Town win	42%	38%	+4
Draw	22%	25%	−2
Bamber Bridge win	36%	37%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	65%	63%	+2
Both teams to score	65%	65%	0
Over 1.5 goals	84%	81%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	43%	43%	0
Whitby Town or draw	64%	63%	+1
Whitby Town clean sheet	21%	–	–
Bamber Bridge clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%

0123450 3.5 6.0 4.5 2.4 1 6.5 9.5 7.7 4.1 2 5.4 8.4 6.6 3.6 3 3.2 4.9 3.9 2.1 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Whitby Town down, Bamber Bridge across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,373 Non League Premier - Northern matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Non League Premier - Northern matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.9% of games this season, across 122 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 2.70 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Whitby Town at home: 1.00 scored, 3.17 conceded a game (last 6). Bamber Bridge away: 1.00 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for Whitby Town, 1.60 for Bamber Bridge. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.70

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~BAM 1–1 WHI · WHI 0–2 BAM · BAM 0–2 WHI · WHI 1–2 BAM

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Northern

WHITBY TOWN

LWLWLL0–6 · 6–3 · 1–4 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 2–6

BAMBER BRIDGE

DDLWLL1–1 · 4–4 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 2–5 · 2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cleethorpes Town	12	+20	27
2	Avro	10	+14	25
3	Redcar Athletic	12	+12	25
4	Guiseley AFC	11	+13	22
5	Workington	12	+4	21
6	Rylands	12	+3	20
7	Curzon Ashton	10	+10	19
8	Alfreton Town	12	+5	18
9	Warrington Town	10	+4	18
10	Bury	10	+10	16
11	Gainsborough Trinity	10	+6	16
12	Lancaster City	12	−8	16
13	Hyde United	12	−8	14
14	Ashton United	10	+1	12
15	Whitby Town	11	−15	12
16	Stockton Town	12	−7	11
17	Leek Town	11	−1	10
18	Quorn	11	−9	10
19	AFC Emley	11	−12	10
20	Bamber Bridge	11	−15	9
21	Ilkeston Town	12	−19	7
22	United of Manchester	10	−8	5