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United of Manchester v Whitby Town
United of Manchester
Whitby TownNon League Premier - Northern · SAT 24 OCT · Broadhurst Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said United of Manchester win at 55%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: United of Manchester 55% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–22–24
- 1′KICK-OFF United of Manchester v Whitby Town
- 33′A goal for United of Manchester on 33′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 77–16–7
- 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' United of Manchester 1–0 Whitby Town
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' United of Manchester win: 55% at kick-off, 77% now
- 34′We said United of Manchester at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–16–7
- 34′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 77–16–7
- 39′United of Manchester score on 39′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' United of Manchester 2–0 Whitby Town
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' United of Manchester win: 55% at kick-off, 94% now
- 40′We said United of Manchester at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 45′HALF-TIME United of Manchester 2–0 Whitby Town
- 46′We said United of Manchester at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+1' United of Manchester win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
- 46′SECOND HALF United of Manchester 2–0 Whitby Town
- 48′Whitby Town find the net on 47′. 2–1. 2–1 · 78–17–5
- 48′⚽ GOAL · 47' United of Manchester 2–1 Whitby Town
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' United of Manchester win: 55% at kick-off, 78% now
- 55′We said United of Manchester at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
- 63′A goal for Whitby Town on 62′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 34–48–18
- 63′We said United of Manchester at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–48–18
- 63′⚽ GOAL · 62' United of Manchester 2–2 Whitby Town
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' United of Manchester win: 55% at kick-off, 34% now
- 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was United of Manchester win 81%)
- 64′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 33–49–18
- 69′We said United of Manchester at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–55–16
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' United of Manchester win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
- 74′We said United of Manchester at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–62–14
- 79′We said United of Manchester at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 2–2 · 18–71–11
- 82′We said United of Manchester at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–77–8
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' United of Manchester win: 55% at kick-off, 14% now
- 85′United of Manchester score on 85′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 94–6–0
- 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' United of Manchester 3–2 Whitby Town
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' United of Manchester win: 55% at kick-off, 94% now
- 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' United of Manchester win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 83%)
- 86′5 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 94–6–0
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' United of Manchester win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
- 90′United of Manchester find the net on 90′. 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' United of Manchester 4–2 Whitby Town
- 91′We said United of Manchester at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 91′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 95′United of Manchester ahead on 88′ through A. Le Fondre. 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME United of Manchester 4–2 Whitby Town
- FTUnited of Manchester 4–2 Whitby Town · United of Manchester win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
United of Manchester are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: United of Manchester 55%, draw 22%, Whitby Town 24%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
United of Manchester win55%
Whitby Town win24%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 11
VenueBroadhurst Park
Match timeline
All events
United of ManchesterMIN
Whitby TownEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
United of Manchester
Whitby Town
Last match: 20 Oct · the English FA Cup
Last match: 17 Oct · Non League Premier - Northern
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make United of Manchester a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.9–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| United of Manchester win | 55% | 54% | +1 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | −1 |
| Whitby Town win | 24% | 23% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 58% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 58% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 78% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 38% | −1 |
| United of Manchester or draw | 76% | 77% | −1 |
| United of Manchester clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| Whitby Town clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Non League Premier - Northern this season · since 29 Aug
UNITED OF MANCHESTER
WHITBY TOWN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 14 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 | Avro | 14 | +10 | 28 |
| 5 | Gainsborough Trinity | 13 | +13 | 25 |
| 6 | Workington | 15 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 | Warrington Town | 13 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 | Rylands | 14 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 13 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 | Alfreton Town | 15 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 | Lancaster City | 15 | −8 | 20 |
| 12 | Bury | 11 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 14 | −13 | 19 |
| 14 | Hyde United | 15 | −14 | 15 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 13 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Ashton United | 14 | −1 | 14 |
| 17 | Quorn | 13 | −6 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Emley | 14 | −11 | 14 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 15 | −10 | 12 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 14 | −17 | 10 |
| 21 | Ilkeston Town | 15 | −24 | 10 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 12 | −8 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Redcar Athletic
Cleethorpes Town
Guiseley AFC
Avro
Gainsborough Trinity
Workington
Warrington Town
Rylands
Curzon Ashton
Alfreton Town
Lancaster City
Bury
Hyde United
Leek Town
Ashton United
Quorn
AFC Emley
Stockton Town
Bamber Bridge
Ilkeston Town