Ilkeston Town v Avro

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Avro win at 52%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Avro was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 28–20–52
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ilkeston Town v Avro
4. 8′Much as we predicted: Avro was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 28–21–50
5. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Avro win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
6. 45′HALF-TIME Ilkeston Town 0–0 Avro
7. 46′SECOND HALF Ilkeston Town 0–0 Avro
8. 51′We said Avro at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 25–34–40
9. 53′We said Avro at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 25–36–39
10. 55′We expected about 3.8 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 25–37–38
11. 55′A red card for Avro on 55′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 25–37–38
12. 55′🟥 RED CARD · 55' Avro
13. 60′Ilkeston Town find the net on 59′. 1–0. 1–0 · 64–25–11
14. 60′We said Avro at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 11%. 1–0 · 64–25–11
15. 60′⚽ GOAL · 59' Ilkeston Town 1–0 Avro
16. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Avro win: 52% at kick-off, 11% now
17. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Ilkeston Town win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Avro win 11%)
18. 64′We said Avro at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 66–24–9
19. 67′A goal for Ilkeston Town on 66′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 92–6–1
20. 67′We said Avro at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 2–0 · 92–6–1
21. 67′⚽ GOAL · 66' Ilkeston Town 2–0 Avro
22. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Avro win: 52% at kick-off, 1% now
23. 72′L. Cox scores for Ilkeston Town on 67′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
24. 91′Red cards for both sides: Ilkeston Town down to ten, Avro to ten. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–0 · 100–0–0
25. 91′🟥 RED CARD · 90+1' Ilkeston Town
26. FTFULL TIME Ilkeston Town 2–0 Avro
27. FTIlkeston Town 2–0 Avro · Avro win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.