Home › Football › Non League Premier - Northern › Hyde United v Quorn

Hyde United v Quorn

Hyde United

2–2Full time

Quorn

Non League Premier - Northern · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 22:30

Hyde United 2–2 Quorn HYDE UNITED WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hyde United win~~45%

~~The market said~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.925

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.826

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 16 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hyde United win at 45%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Hyde United 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–23–33
1′KICK-OFF Hyde United v Quorn
44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Hyde United 1–0 Quorn
45′A goal for Hyde United on 44′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 71–20–9
45′45′ and it is 1–1: Quorn have scored. 1–1 · 37–34–29
45′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 1–1 · 37–34–29
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Hyde United win: 45% at kick-off, 71% now
45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Hyde United 1–1 Quorn
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Hyde United win: 45% at kick-off, 37% now
45′HALF-TIME Hyde United 1–1 Quorn
46′SECOND HALF Hyde United 1–1 Quorn
50′Quorn find the net on 49′. 1–2. 1–2 · 12–24–64
50′⚽ GOAL · 49' Hyde United 1–2 Quorn
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Hyde United win: 45% at kick-off, 12% now
50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Quorn win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Hyde United win 12%)
51′We said Hyde United at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 1–2 · 12–24–65
57′We said Hyde United at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–24–67
59′⚽ GOAL · 44' Hyde United 1–2 Quorn · H. Ditchfield
59′⚽ GOAL · 46' Hyde United 1–2 Quorn · T. Pennant
59′⚽ GOAL · 49' Hyde United 1–2 Quorn · T. Pennant
73′⚽ GOAL · 72' Hyde United 2–2 Quorn
90′B. Roscoe scores for Hyde United on 72′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 6–90–5
90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Quorn win 5%)
FTFULL TIME Hyde United 2–2 Quorn
FTHyde United 2–2 Quorn · Hyde United win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 19:33 · locked at kick-off

Hyde United win45%

Draw22%

Quorn win33%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 19:45

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Hyde United

Quorn

3Days since last match3

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Hyde United	13	−10	14
15	Quorn	12	−6	13

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hyde united winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 19:33 · locked at kick-off

45% The market39%

Us45%

~~Market~~39%

We make Hyde United a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · hyde united win The market, margin stripped

Published at 49%, 45% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hyde United win	45%	39%	+6
Draw	22%	26%	−4
Quorn win	33%	35%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	66%	58%	+8
Both teams to score	65%	61%	+4
Over 1.5 goals	85%	78%	+7
Over 3.5 goals	44%	37%	+7
Hyde United or draw	67%	65%	+2
Hyde United clean sheet	22%	–	–
Quorn clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.3%

0123450 3.3 5.5 4.1 2.1 1 6.5 9.3 7.3 3.8 2 5.7 8.6 6.6 3.4 3 3.6 5.3 4.1 2.1 4 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hyde United down, Quorn across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,384 Non League Premier - Northern matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Non League Premier - Northern matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.7% of games this season, across 133 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Hyde United at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Quorn away: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.85 goals for Hyde United, 1.55 for Quorn. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Non League Premier - Northern since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Northern

HYDE UNITED

WLLWLL2–1 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–2

QUORN

LWLWDW3–6 · 2–0 · 1–4 · 4–2 · 2–2 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cleethorpes Town	13	+23	30
2	Redcar Athletic	13	+17	28
3	Guiseley AFC	12	+14	25
4	Avro	11	+13	25
5	Curzon Ashton	11	+12	22
6	Workington	13	+1	21
7	Rylands	13	0	20
8	Bury	11	+11	19
9	Gainsborough Trinity	11	+7	19
10	Warrington Town	11	+4	19
11	Alfreton Town	13	+4	18
12	Lancaster City	13	−8	17
13	Hyde United	13	−10	14
14	Ashton United	11	+1	13
15	Quorn	12	−6	13
16	Whitby Town	12	−15	13
17	Stockton Town	13	−7	12
18	Leek Town	12	−1	11
19	AFC Emley	12	−13	10
20	Bamber Bridge	12	−15	10
21	Ilkeston Town	13	−24	7
22	United of Manchester	11	−8	6