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Gainsborough Trinity v Hyde United
Gainsborough Trinity
Hyde UnitedNon League Premier - Northern · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Gainsborough Trinity win at 53%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Gainsborough Trinity 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–23–24
- 1′KICK-OFF Gainsborough Trinity v Hyde United
- 2′Gainsborough Trinity score on 2′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 76–15–9
- 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Gainsborough Trinity 1–0 Hyde United
- 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Gainsborough Trinity win: 53% at kick-off, 76% now
- 3′We said Gainsborough Trinity at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–15–9
- 7′2′: J. Helliwell on the scoresheet for Gainsborough Trinity, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 76–15–9
- 8′We said Gainsborough Trinity at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–15–9
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 77–16–7
- 45′HALF-TIME Gainsborough Trinity 1–0 Hyde United
- 46′SECOND HALF Gainsborough Trinity 1–0 Hyde United
- 52′Gainsborough Trinity find the net on 52′. 2–0. 2–0 · 96–4–1
- 52′We said Gainsborough Trinity at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–0 · 96–4–1
- 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Gainsborough Trinity 2–0 Hyde United
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Gainsborough Trinity win: 53% at kick-off, 96% now
- 54′We said Gainsborough Trinity at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 65′A goal for Gainsborough Trinity on 65′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 65′We said Gainsborough Trinity at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Gainsborough Trinity 3–0 Hyde United
- 66′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 70′R. Kokkinos scores for Gainsborough Trinity on 64′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 90′Gainsborough Trinity score on 90′ to make it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 90′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Gainsborough Trinity 4–0 Hyde United
- FTFULL TIME Gainsborough Trinity 4–0 Hyde United
- FTGainsborough Trinity 4–0 Hyde United · Gainsborough Trinity win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassGainsborough Trinity are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Gainsborough Trinity 53%, draw 23%, Hyde United 24%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Gainsborough Trinity win53%
Hyde United win24%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 15
Match timeline
All events
Gainsborough TrinityMIN
Hyde UnitedEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Gainsborough Trinity
Hyde United
Last match: 13 Oct · Non League Premier - Northern
Last match: 13 Oct · Non League Premier - Northern
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Gainsborough Trinity a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 52%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gainsborough Trinity win | 53% | 56% | −3 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 0 |
| Hyde United win | 24% | 21% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 56% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 55% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 77% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 35% | −3 |
| Gainsborough Trinity or draw | 76% | 79% | −3 |
| Gainsborough Trinity clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| Hyde United clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Non League Premier - Northern this season · since 28 Aug
GAINSBOROUGH TRINITY
HYDE UNITED
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 14 | +19 | 31 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 13 | +23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 12 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 | Avro | 12 | +11 | 25 |
| 5 | Rylands | 14 | +4 | 23 |
| 6 | Gainsborough Trinity | 12 | +9 | 22 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 12 | +5 | 22 |
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Lancaster City | 14 | −7 | 20 |
| 11 | Bury | 11 | +11 | 19 |
| 12 | Alfreton Town | 14 | +4 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 13 | −14 | 16 |
| 14 | Hyde United | 14 | −10 | 15 |
| 15 | Ashton United | 12 | +1 | 14 |
| 16 | Quorn | 13 | −6 | 14 |
| 17 | Stockton Town | 14 | −8 | 12 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 12 | −1 | 11 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 13 | −13 | 11 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 13 | −16 | 10 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 12 | −8 | 7 |
| 22 | Ilkeston Town | 14 | −26 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Redcar Athletic
Cleethorpes Town
Guiseley AFC
Avro
Rylands
Curzon Ashton
Warrington Town
Workington
Lancaster City
Bury
Alfreton Town
Whitby Town
Ashton United
Quorn
Stockton Town
Leek Town
AFC Emley
Bamber Bridge
United of Manchester
Ilkeston Town