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Home › Football › Non League Premier - Northern › Gainsborough Trinity v Hyde United

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Gainsborough Trinity v Hyde United

Gainsborough Trinity
4–0Full time
Hyde United

Non League Premier - Northern · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10
Gainsborough Trinity 4–0 Hyde United GAINSBOROUGH TRINITY WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Gainsborough Trinity win53%
The market said56%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.334
The market’s Brier score0.285

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gainsborough Trinity win at 53%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Gainsborough Trinity 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–23–24
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Gainsborough Trinity v Hyde United
  4. 2′Gainsborough Trinity score on 2′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 76–15–9
  5. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Gainsborough Trinity 1–0 Hyde United
  6. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Gainsborough Trinity win: 53% at kick-off, 76% now
  7. 3′We said Gainsborough Trinity at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–15–9
  8. 7′2′: J. Helliwell on the scoresheet for Gainsborough Trinity, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 76–15–9
  9. 8′We said Gainsborough Trinity at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–15–9
  10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 77–16–7
  11. 45′HALF-TIME Gainsborough Trinity 1–0 Hyde United
  12. 46′SECOND HALF Gainsborough Trinity 1–0 Hyde United
  13. 52′Gainsborough Trinity find the net on 52′. 2–0. 2–0 · 96–4–1
  14. 52′We said Gainsborough Trinity at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–0 · 96–4–1
  15. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Gainsborough Trinity 2–0 Hyde United
  16. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Gainsborough Trinity win: 53% at kick-off, 96% now
  17. 54′We said Gainsborough Trinity at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
  18. 65′A goal for Gainsborough Trinity on 65′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  19. 65′We said Gainsborough Trinity at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  20. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Gainsborough Trinity 3–0 Hyde United
  21. 66′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  22. 70′R. Kokkinos scores for Gainsborough Trinity on 64′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  23. 90′Gainsborough Trinity score on 90′ to make it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  24. 90′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  25. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Gainsborough Trinity 4–0 Hyde United
  26. FTFULL TIME Gainsborough Trinity 4–0 Hyde United
  27. FTGainsborough Trinity 4–0 Hyde United · Gainsborough Trinity win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Gainsborough Trinity are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Gainsborough Trinity 53%, draw 23%, Hyde United 24%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Gainsborough Trinity v Hyde UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Gainsborough Trinity win53%
Draw23%
Hyde United win24%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gainsborough Trinity

Hyde United

4Days since last match4

Last match: 13 Oct · Non League Premier - Northern

Last match: 13 Oct · Non League Premier - Northern

4Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Gainsborough Trinity12+922
14Hyde United14−1015

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gainsborough trinity winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 14 Oct 04:39 · locked at kick-off
53% The market56%
Us53%
Market56%

We make Gainsborough Trinity a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Gainsborough Trinity v Hyde United1.77 – 1.11
Form · last six in Non League Premier - Northern this season · since 28 AugW4 D0 L2 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 22 v 156 v 14
The market · Gainsborough Trinity win56% · ours 53%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65% 11 OCT 04:0217 OCT 14:07
Our probability · Gainsborough Trinity win The market, margin stripped

Published at 52%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Gainsborough Trinity win53%56%−3
Draw23%23%0
Hyde United win24%21%+3
Over 2.5 goals55%56%−1
Both teams to score55%55%0
Over 1.5 goals77%77%0
Over 3.5 goals32%35%−3
Gainsborough Trinity or draw76%79%−3
Gainsborough Trinity clean sheet33%––
Hyde United clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%
0123450 5.6 6.6 3.5 1 10.3 10.7 6.0 2.3 2 8.8 9.5 5.3 3 5.2 5.6 3.1 4 2.3 2.5 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Gainsborough Trinity down, Hyde United across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.60
Over 2.54 of 10
Both scored7 of 10
Last meetingsHYD 3–1 GAI · GAI 2–0 HYD · HYD 1–1 GAI · GAI 2–1 HYD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Northern this season · since 28 Aug

GAINSBOROUGH TRINITY

WLLWWW2–1 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 6–2 · 2–1 · 3–1

HYDE UNITED

LLWLLD1–3 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Redcar Athletic14+1931
2Cleethorpes Town13+2330
3Guiseley AFC12+1425
4Avro12+1125
5Rylands14+423
6Gainsborough Trinity12+922
7Curzon Ashton12+822
8Warrington Town12+522
9Workington14021
10Lancaster City14−720
11Bury11+1119
12Alfreton Town14+419
13Whitby Town13−1416
14Hyde United14−1015
15Ashton United12+114
16Quorn13−614
17Stockton Town14−812
18Leek Town12−111
19AFC Emley13−1311
20Bamber Bridge13−1610
21United of Manchester12−87
22Ilkeston Town14−267

The competition's standings before kick-off.