Home › Football › Non League Premier - Northern › Curzon Ashton v Hyde United

Curzon Ashton v Hyde United

Curzon Ashton

2–0Full time

Hyde United

Non League Premier - Northern · SAT 10 OCT · Tameside Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Curzon Ashton 2–0 Hyde United CURZON ASHTON WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Curzon Ashton win~~57%

~~The market said~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.278

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.245

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 7 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Curzon Ashton win at 57%.
2′KICK-OFF Curzon Ashton v Hyde United
5′Little has changed for our model: Curzon Ashton 57% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–22–22
45′HALF-TIME Curzon Ashton 0–0 Hyde United
47′⚽ GOAL · 46' Curzon Ashton 1–0 Hyde United
47′SECOND HALF Curzon Ashton 1–0 Hyde United
50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Curzon Ashton 1–0 Hyde United · A. Curran
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Curzon Ashton 2–0 Hyde United
FTFULL TIME Curzon Ashton 2–0 Hyde United
FTCurzon Ashton 2–0 Hyde United · Curzon Ashton win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Curzon Ashton win57%

Draw21%

Hyde United win22%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

Venue · Tameside Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · curzon ashton winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

57% The market60%

Us57%

~~Market~~60%

We make Curzon Ashton a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · curzon ashton win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 58% to 60% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Curzon Ashton win	57%	60%	−3
Draw	21%	21%	−1
Hyde United win	22%	19%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	61%	60%	+1
Both teams to score	58%	57%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	82%	79%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	39%	40%	−1
Curzon Ashton or draw	78%	81%	−3
Curzon Ashton clean sheet	32%	–	–
Hyde United clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.6%

0123450 4.2 5.3 2.9 1 8.9 9.5 5.6 2.2 2 8.5 9.6 5.5 2.2 3 5.7 6.4 3.7 4 2.9 3.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Curzon Ashton down, Hyde United across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,373 Non League Premier - Northern matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Non League Premier - Northern matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.9% of games this season, across 122 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Curzon Ashton at home: 1.80 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 5). Hyde United away: 1.17 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.00 goals for Curzon Ashton, 1.16 for Hyde United. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Northern

CURZON ASHTON

LWWWWW1–2 · 4–0 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 3–1

HYDE UNITED

DWLLWL4–4 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cleethorpes Town	12	+20	27
2	Avro	10	+14	25
3	Redcar Athletic	12	+12	25
4	Guiseley AFC	11	+13	22
5	Workington	12	+4	21
6	Rylands	12	+3	20
7	Curzon Ashton	10	+10	19
8	Alfreton Town	12	+5	18
9	Warrington Town	10	+4	18
10	Bury	10	+10	16
11	Gainsborough Trinity	10	+6	16
12	Lancaster City	12	−8	16
13	Hyde United	12	−8	14
14	Ashton United	10	+1	12
15	Whitby Town	11	−15	12
16	Stockton Town	12	−7	11
17	Leek Town	11	−1	10
18	Quorn	11	−9	10
19	AFC Emley	11	−12	10
20	Bamber Bridge	11	−15	9
21	Ilkeston Town	12	−19	7
22	United of Manchester	10	−8	5